At 7:30 ET, the Pistons will travel to Miami to take on the Heat. The Heat are favored by 11.5 points and have a moneyline of -682. The Pistons are 9-51 on the season and have lost two straight games.

This Eastern Conference matchup will be played at the Kaseya Center and can be seen on BSSU. The over/under line for the game is set at 218 points.


The Pick: Detroit Pistons +11.5

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-108 in favor of the Heat.
  • Our projections have Terry Rozier finishing with Terry Rozier points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.7% and knocking down 11 threes.

Will the Pistons Defense Show Up in Miami?

Detroit is 9-51 this season and is currently 14th in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 6-30 and 2-12 against their division.

On the road, the Pistons are 5-26 and have an ATS record of 16-15. Their average scoring differential on the road is -9.6 points per game.

As the underdog, the Pistons have an ATS record of 28-26 and have gone 8-47 straight-up. They have been the underdog in 55 of their 60 games this season.

In their last game, the Pistons lost to the Magic by a score of 113-91. The O/U line for that game was 217 points, and Detroit was getting 11 points on the spread.

Detroit’s O/U record for the season is 31-28-1, and the under has hit in their last nine games. Today’s O/U line is set at 218 points, and the average O/U line in their games this season is 230.6.

When it comes to scoring, the Pistons have been below average this season, ranking 23rd in the NBA at 112.1 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 112.8 points per game compared to 111.3 at home.

So far, the Pistons have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 28.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 9th in the league at 100.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pistons are 18th in field goal percentage at 47%. They are also 21st in two-point shooting at 53% but have struggled from three-point range, hitting just 36% of their attempts (18th).

At present, the Pistons’ defense is ranked 27th, allowing 121.0 points per game. Opponents are hitting 55.6% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 37.7% of their three-point attempts.

Is a Home Win Possible for Miami?

Miami is 11.5-point favorites today and has gone 6-0 against the spread as the favorite. On average, they have a scoring differential of +2.5 points per game as the favorite.

This season, Miami has been favored in 34 of their 60 games and has a record of 24-10 in those games. Against the spread, they are 15-16 as the favorite.

For the season, Miami has an O/U record of 23-37 and their games have averaged 220.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 218, with 43 of their games having higher O/U lines.

In their last game, Miami defeated Utah by a score of 126-120. The Heat were favored by 9 points in that game, and the O/U line was 224.

Miami’s win over Utah moved their overall record to 34-26, which is currently 7th in the Eastern Conference. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.

This season, the Heat are 29-28 against the spread and have an ATS record of 12-17 at home. Their straight-up record at home is 16-13, and they are 15-16 vs. the spread as the favorite.

When playing at home, the Heat have averaged 113.5 points per game this season (22nd in the NBA). Overall, they are 27th in the league at 110.6 points per game. In terms of pace, Miami ranks 28th with an average of 96.2 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Heat have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 35% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Miami ranks 23rd at 46%. When it comes to two-point shooting, they are 26th in the league at 52%.

From beyond the arc, the Heat are 7th in three-point shooting at 37%. In terms of three-point attempts, they are 20th in the league. Overall, Miami is 20th in assists (25.9 per game) and 25th in offensive rebounds (9.6 per game).

This season, the Heat’s defense is the 6th ranked defense in the NBA at 6th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 75.0% of their games. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.1% and 36.4% from three-point territory.