NBA Pick: Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers


Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers

Date/Time: January 23, 10:30 p.m. EST


NBA Basketball Betting Odds from Bovada

The Portland Trail Blazers are one of the best young teams in the National Basketball Association. They are in the running for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and have a high octane offense that puts up over 100 points on a nightly basis. Earlier in the year they took the league by surprise, but not anymore. On Thursday night when they host the Denver Nuggets in the second game of the double header on TNT, they better be ready.

Game Overview:

The Denver Nuggets are not having a great season, but they have dealt with several injuries along the way. Nuggets forward Danilo Gallinari has missed the first half of the season, and will be shut down for the remainder of it following knee surgery, which in turn will put pressure on the rest of the Nuggets. They are used to playing without his contributions so not much will change as Ty Lawson will run the show.

Lawson is a double-double machine and leads a very potent offense. If the Trail Blazers have one weakness it is on defense. They allow 102.9 points per game – tied for the third-highest mark in the Western Conference. They currently sit 26th in points allowed per 100 possessions at 105.7. They will get the benefit of playing at home so the crowd will help at times as an extra defender.

The latest NBA sports betting trends for this game favor the road team. The Trail Blazers are 4-11 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 against the Western Conference. The Nuggets are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games when playing a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 25-9-2 ATS in their last 36 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

The trends tell the same story when it comes to the head to head confrontations.  In recent meetings the underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

The Trail Blazers have stumbled a bit, but that is due to a very tough stretch of games on the NBA highway that rolled through the state of Texas. Although they lost the last two games of that road trip, they did get a signature win at San Antonio. Now they are back at home against a struggling Nuggets team and will get back on the winning track.

Free Pick: Portland Trail Blazers

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Cole Ryan

Cole started off as a part time handicapper and a full time computer programmer. After developing a computer program that consistently provided winners in NFL, NBA, MLB, and college sports Cole went into full time handicapping. The computer program and his knack for winners made him a rising star in the handicapping world. His complex computer program based on algorithms and analytical calculations have led to a 60% ATS rate.

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