The Phoenix Suns (10-33) will be at home in Talking Stick Resort Arena when they clash with the Denver Nuggets (28-12). Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and it can be seen on Altitude 2 Sports.
Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns Free Preview
In the Nuggets’ last contest, they won big over the Los Angeles Clippers, 121-100, easily covering as 6-point favorites. With 18 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists, Nikola Jokic led the way for Denver with his fourth triple-double of the season. Denver played a nearly perfect game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 28.2) and a turnover percentage of 7.9 (better than their season average of 12.0). For those same stats, Los Angeles recorded marks of 17.4 and 10.9, respectively. The two teams combined to score 221 points, which finished under the O/U total of 226.
Although the Suns were topped by the Dallas Mavericks in their last matchup, 104-94, they did cover as 11-point underdogs. With 16 points, six rebounds and five assists, Richaun Holmes had a good outing for Phoenix. Dallas did an excellent job of making free throws (32-45; 71.1 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, forced the Mavericks into a turnover percentage of 17.5 (above their season average of 13.7). The two clubs combined to put up 198 points, which was well under the O/U total of 217.5.
These two teams have already met twice this year, with the Nuggets winning both. Jamal Murray scored a game-high 46 points in the most recent matchup, in which the Nuggets defeated the Suns 122-118 but did not cover as 4.5-point favorites. He also put up eight assists and six rebounds. The two teams combined to score 240 points, which was 24.5 points above the projected point total of 215.5 points. Denver did a great job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (20-26; 76.9 percent). Phoenix, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (11.8 vs. 19.4).
Both of these teams tend to go under the projected point total. Denver games have gone under 55.0 percent of the time, while 55.8 percent of games including Phoenix have gone under. Looking at straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records, the Nuggets have a substantial advantage. They are 28-12 SU and 23-17 ATS, while the Suns are 10-33 SU and 19-24 ATS.
Both teams have had a player heat up over their last five games. For the Nuggets, it’s been Jokic, who has averaged 27 points,12.6 rebounds,8.2 assists,1.6 steals,1.2 blocks, while the Suns have gotten solid contributions from Josh Jackson (13 points).
It could be a difficult game for Phoenix on the offensive glass. The Suns rank 26th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.3 percent), while Denver ranks eighth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.1 percent).
Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction
The Nuggets rank second in assists per game (27.4) while the Suns rank 24th in assists allowed per game (25.5).
Denver ranks 12th in steals per game (8.1) while Phoenix ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (9.3).
Denver ranks seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.3) while Phoenix ranks 28th (20.1).
On the road, Denver is 9-11 ATS with 11 unders and 9 overs.
Phoenix is 10-13 ATS at home with 13 unders and 10 overs.
Denver is 14-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 3-1.
The Suns are 9-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Nuggets are 27-8.
The Nuggets rank sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.1) while the Suns rank 26th (16.1).
Denver ranks first in second chance points per game (16.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (11.2).
The Nuggets rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.3) while the Suns rank 28th (40.2).
Denver ranks fifth in points in the paint per game (52.4) while Phoenix ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (52.4).
Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.
Across its last five outings, Denver is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 8.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (4.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).