Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 3/10/25
At 8:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-362) will host the Denver Nuggets (+288) in a Western Northwest Division matchup. The Thunder are currently on a seven-game win streak and have a record of 53-11, which is good for 1st in the Western Conference. The Nuggets are 41-23 and sit 3rd in the West.
The over/under line for this game is 238.5 points. Tip-off will be at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and can be seen on NBA TV.
DENVER NUGGETS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK
The Pick: Oklahoma City Thunder -9
This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Monday, March 10th.
WHY BET THE OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 139-123 in favor of the Thunder.
- Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with 31 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.7% and knocking down 16 threes.
Can Denver Pull Off a Road Win?
The Nuggets fell to 41-23 on the season after a 127-103 road loss to the Thunder on Sunday. Denver, who entered the game as +7.5 point underdogs, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The combined score of 230 points fell short of the 242.5 total.
Denver started strong with a 10-0 run, but after leading 10-3, they couldn’t maintain momentum. They trailed 86-83 going into the 4th quarter but were outscored 41-20 in the final period.
In their 127-103 loss to the Thunder, the Nuggets shot just 41.2% from the field and 30% from three-point range, hitting 12 threes. Michael Porter Jr. and Nikola Jokić each scored 24 points, with Porter also grabbing 15 rebounds and hitting 3 threes at 37.5% efficiency.
Christian Braun added 19 points, making 3 threes at 60% from deep. Jokić scored 14 of his points in the 1st quarter, while Porter added 10 in the 2nd. Braun also contributed 13 of his 19 points in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Nuggets struggled in the 4th quarter, giving up 41 points, contributing to their 127-103 loss to the Thunder. Denver allowed 33 points in the 2nd quarter but managed to hold Oklahoma City to 25 points in the 3rd. Overall, the Thunder shot 48% from the field.
The Nuggets limited the Thunder to 13 made threes on 34% shooting from beyond the arc. Oklahoma City went 22/25 from the free-throw line. Denver finished with 34 defensive rebounds, allowing 10 offensive boards, and recorded 3 steals and 6 blocks.
Can the Thunder Pull Off a Home Win?
With a 127-103 win over the Nuggets on Sunday, the Thunder improved to 53-11 for the season. Oklahoma City, favored by -7.5 points, covered the spread at home. The game’s total of 230 points fell short of the 242.5-point over/under line.
Denver started strong with a 10-0 run, but the Thunder gradually took control, leading 86-83 going into the 4th quarter. They dominated the final period, outscoring the Nuggets 41-20 to seal the win.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 40 points and 8 rebounds led the Thunder to a 127-103 win over the Nuggets, shooting 46.9% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 18.2%. Jalen Williams added 26 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists, shooting 50% and also making 2 threes, while Chet Holmgren contributed 14 points and 8 rebounds, hitting 60% of his shots.
As a team, the Thunder shot 48.9% from the field, making 13 threes at a 34.2% clip. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 12 points in the 1st quarter and 11 in the 3rd, while Williams added 13 points in the 4th.
The Thunder’s defense tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 43 points to the Nuggets in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Overall, they gave up 103 points on 41% shooting from the field.
Oklahoma City limited Denver to 12 made threes on 30% shooting from deep. The Nuggets also went 11/20 from the free-throw line. The Thunder finished with 46 defensive rebounds, 5 steals, and 14 blocks.