Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Pick 01/20/20

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-27), who are currently on a five-game losing streak, will try to get back in the win column when they welcome the Denver Nuggets (29-13) to Target Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 218.5 points with Minnesota opening as a 2.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET on Monday, January 20, 2020, and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Nuggets were beaten by the Indiana Pacers in their last contest, 115-107. They were unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. With 30 points on 10-for-16 shooting, Nikola Jokic was the top scorer from either team. Indiana was lights out from beyond the arc (13-29; 44.8 percent). Denver, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.1 vs. 12.9). The two teams combined to put up 222 points, which was over the O/U total of 213.5.

In the Timberwolves’ previous outing, they were defeated by the Toronto Raptors, 122-112, and were not able to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. With 18 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds, Andrew Wiggins led the way for Minnesota with his zeroth triple-double of the season. Toronto had an effective field goal percentage of 0.588 (above their season average of 0.529). Minnesota, meanwhile, held the Raptors to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.9 (below their season average of 22.3). The two clubs combined to put up 234 points, which was over the projected point total of 224.

It will be a matchup of contrasting paces as the up-and-down Timberwolves will look to push the more grind-it-out Nuggets. The Timberwolves currently rank first in possessions per game while the Nuggets are 27th. Also, the Nuggets rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.7 percent), while the Timberwolves rank 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage (76.7 percent).

Of Denver’s 41 games that accepted bets, 24 have finished under the O/U total, while 23 of Minnesota’s 42 games have finished over the O/U total. The Nuggets have the superior straight up (SU) record (29-13 vs. 15-27), but the Timberwolves have been better against the spread (ATS) (17-23-2 vs. 16-19-6).

These two teams have met twice already this year, with the Nuggets winning both. Jokic recorded 22 points, 10 rebounds and 10 assists in the most recent contest, in which the Nuggets beat the Timberwolves 109-100 but did not cover as 10.5-point favorites. The two teams combined for 209 points, which was 6 points below the projected point total of 215 points. Denver’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Minnesota. The Nuggets had a rate of 0.551 while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 0.471.

Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves Free Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Timberwolves, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Nuggets rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Timberwolves rank 20th (17.4).

Denver averages 50.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.0).

Minnesota ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.1) while Denver ranks 20th (4.6).

Denver ranks 24th in fast break points per game (11.6) while Minnesota ranks 27th (10.3).

Denver is 8-8-3 ATS on the road, while Minnesota is 5-14-1 ATS at home.

Of the Nuggets’ 19 road games, they have 10 overs and 9 unders.

The Timberwolves have 10 overs and 10 unders in 20 home games.

Denver is 11-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Minnesota is 2-1.

The Nuggets are 27-9 when they reach the century mark, while the Timberwolves are 14-20.

The Nuggets average 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Timberwolves rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).

Minnesota ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (39.3) while Denver ranks 28th (29.8).

The Nuggets rank sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.4) while the Timberwolves rank 29th (48.1).

The Nuggets rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Timberwolves rank 13th (7.5).

Denver ranks fourth in assists per game (26.2) while Minnesota ranks 22nd (22.8).

Bettings Trends:

Minnesota is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.

Over its past five games, Denver is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Timberwolves’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 12.0, up from 3.3 for the season.

During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 111.6 points per game (2.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (3.7 above their season average).

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