Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves ATS Odds Pick 11/10/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-10

Northwest Division foes will collide when the Minnesota Timberwolves (5-3) meet the Denver Nuggets (6-2) at the Target Center. Denver opened as a 2-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 217 points. Action starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 10, 2019, and it can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt.

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free Preview

In the Nuggets’ last game, they won a close one over the Philadelphia 76ers, 100-97, but failed to cover as 5-point favorites. Nikola Jokic was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 10-for-22 shooting. The Nuggets forced 17 turnovers, while the 76ers had a free throw rate of 0.093 (below their season average of 0.223). The two teams combined to score 197 points, which finished under the O/U total of 211.5.

Although the Timberwolves topped the Golden State Warriors in their last matchup, 125-119, they failed to cover as 12-point favorites. Minnesota rallied around Andrew Wiggins, who led the team in scoring with 40 points on 17-for-33 shooting. Minnesota dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 35.7 (above their season average of 21.3) and a turnover percentage of 12.1 (better than their season average of 13.1). Golden State had marks of 25.0 and 14.3, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams collectively scored 244 points, which came in well over the projected point total of 227.5.

Minnesota could put on a ball-control clinic in this battle. Dating back to last season, Minnesota ranks third in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.4 percent), while Denver has forced the eighth-fewest turnovers (12.7 percent). Furthermore, the Nuggets, who rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 percent), will attempt to take advantage of the Timberwolves, who rank 25th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.1 percent).

In terms of the O/U total, these teams are complete opposites. Denver games have finished under 87.5 percent of the time, while games including Minnesota have gone over 75.0 percent of the time. The Nuggets have the superior straight up (SU) record (6-2 vs. 5-3), but both teams have the same against the spread (ATS) record (3-4-1).

The Nuggets won all four meetings against the Timberwolves last season. In the last contest, Denver won 99-95. The Nuggets dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a free throw rate of 0.126 and an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.1. For those same stats, the Timberwolves put up marks of 0.044 and 14.6, respectively.

Nuggets at Timberwolves ATS Prediction

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Over


Betting Notes (2018-Present):

Minnesota ranks fourth in steals per game (8.5) while Denver ranks 17th (7.5).

Denver averages 4.5 blocks per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Minnesota ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).

The Nuggets allow the fewest points off turnovers per game (14.2) while the Timberwolves rank fifth (15.3).

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