Don’t miss out on the NBA showdown between the Nuggets and Warriors. The game is starting at 10:00 ET on TNT, and it’s hosted by the Warriors at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. Get ready to place your bets! The Nuggets are favored in this Western conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 234.5 points.
DENVER NUGGETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Golden State Warriors +2.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.
WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 110-109 in favor of the Nuggets.
- Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 9 assists.
- From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 13 threes.
Does Denver Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?
Through 35 games, the Nuggets are 3rd in the Western Conference on a record of 24-11. As they travel to take on the Warriors, they are 2.5-point favorites.
So far, Denver has been slightly better on the road than at home, with an average scoring margin of +0.8 points per game compared to +10.2 at home. Their road record for the season is 10-8.
Against the spread, the Nuggets are 7-11 on the road and 16-18 overall. As the favorite, Denver has a scoring margin of +6.1 points per game, but have gone 15-16 ATS when favored.
In each of their last two games as the underdog, the Nuggets have failed to cover. Their overall over/under record for the season is 12-22. So far, the majority of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 234.5, with the average OU line for the season sitting at 226. The Nuggets’ over/under record in games with higher OU lines than 234.5 is 2-4.
Coming into this game, the Nuggets are averaging 111 points per game. In their last game against the Hornets, they shot 49.4% from the field and made 15 three-pointers. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 23rd in the league with 96.6 possessions per game. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 6th in percentage and 23rd in attempts.
Not only do the Nuggets’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 3rd in the league in points allowed. Denver has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 14th in the league over their last three games at 105.7 PPG allowed. Inside the arc, the Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 51.9% and 35.7% from three-point territory.
Can the Warriors Offense Score Enough at Home?
With a record of 16-17, the Warriors will look to pick up a win as 2.5-point underdogs at home. If they are able to pull off the upset, they will also move up in the Western Conference standings. Right now, Golden State is in 11th place and 5th in the Pacific Division.
Against the spread, the Warriors have been better on the road than at home this season, going 9-6 compared to 6-11 at home. When they have been the underdog, Golden State has gone 8-4 ATS, including two straight covers.
So far, the over/under record in Golden State’s games is 18-14-1. When playing games with higher over/under lines than 234.5, the Warriors are 4-5 compared to 13-9-1 when the OU lines have been lower.
This season, the Warriors have been involved in two straight games that finished with higher point totals than the OU lines before the games. The average combined score for their games this season is 233.2 points, and the average OU line coming into today’s game is 230.1.
In the Warriors’ most recent game, they put up 121 points which is right in line with their season average of 116.9. Stephen Curry was the top scorer for the Warriors in their last game vs. the Magic, finishing with 36 points. Along with Curry, Jonathan Kuminga chipped in 19 points.
At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 116.3 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Warriors squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 54.2% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.3% from downtown.