|512: NEW ORLEANS
Last Updated: 2017-12-06
The New Orleans Pelicans (12-12) will be at home in Smoothie King Center when they square off against the Denver Nuggets (13-10). The game can be seen on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 6, 2017.
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds
Both teams were beaten in their last outing. The Pelicans fell to the Golden State Warriors, 125-115, while the Nuggets were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 122-105.
Denver held Dallas to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.8 (below their season average of 18.6) while New Orleans held Golden State to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 22.2). DeMarcus Cousins had a good outing for New Orleans, contributing 19 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. Will Barton played a key role for Denver with 23 points, eight rebounds and six assists.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, New Orleans figures to have a noteworthy advantage. The elite Pelicans offense ranks fifth in the league in that metric at 0.544, while the bottom-tier Denver defense is ranked 29th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.548).
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as 56.5 percent of their games have finished under the projected point total. Denver comes into the contest with records of 13-10 straight up (SU) and 9-14 against the spread (ATS).
In opposition of Denver, just over half of Pelicans games have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, New Orleans is 12-12 SU and 13-11 ATS.
The Nuggets’ Gary Harris has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 16.0 points and 3.0 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jrue Holiday has averaged 19.4 points, 4.4 assists and 1.4 steals during that same time frame for the Pelicans.
In their first matchup this year, Jamal Murray led the Nuggets to a 146-114 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 31 points. Denver covered as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 260 points, which was well over the projected point total of 221.5. Denver’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over New Orleans. The Nuggets had a rate of 0.180, while the Pelicans posted a mark of 0.066.
Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
The Nuggets rank seventh in rebounds per game (45.1) while the Pelicans rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (43.9).
New Orleans ranks second in points in the paint per game (51.5) while Denver ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.4).
The Nuggets rank first in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Pelicans rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (12.8).
Denver averages 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.9).
Denver ranks 13th in three pointers attempted per game (29.9) while New Orleans ranks 25th in three pointers allowed per game (30.8).
The Nuggets average 14.8 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (13.5).
The Pelicans rank 16th in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Nuggets rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (20.4).
New Orleans averages 26.2 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. Denver ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (24.5).
When allowing less than 100 points, Denver is 5-1 and New Orleans is 4-0.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Nuggets are 11-5 and the Pelicans are 10-7.
New Orleans is 5-6 ATS at home, while Denver is 2-9 ATS on the road.
Of the Nuggets’ 11 road games, they have 6 unders and 5 overs.
Of the Pelicans’ 11 home games, they have 6 overs and 5 unders.
The Nuggets are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Pelicans are 1-4.
In their last five games, Denver has 3 unders and 2 overs, while New Orleans has 4 overs and 1 under.
The Nuggets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 3.6, up from 0.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (6.9 above their season average).