Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders – Free Betting Pick Week 16

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

 
Monday, 12/24/2018 at 08:15 pm DENVER (6-9) at OAKLAND (4-11)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
131DENVER 43 21.3 21.7 6-9 6-8-1 3-12-0 121.7 227.1 348.8 119.8 251.1 370.9
132OAKLAND +3 19.1 28.8 4-11 6-9-0 7-8-0 100.1 239.1 339.2 143.3 236.2 379.5

Last Updated: 2018-12-19

The Denver Broncos (-2.5) and Oakland Raiders are ready to do battle on the grass at Oakland Coliseum. The Monday Night Football game gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN is scheduled to televise the action.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders Betting Odds

The line for this AFC game is placed at 2.5 points in favor of Denver. The Broncos are currently being given -140 moneyline odds while the Raiders are +120. The over/under has been set at 45 points, and based on how it’s shaping up, this contest should offer some in-game betting opportunities.

This game’s line opened at 3, while the over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially established at 45.

The Broncos are 6-8 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Raiders are 3-11 SU overall and 0-4 SU versus divisional foes. The Broncos are down 1.4 units so far and 6-7-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 3-11.

The Raiders are down 5.3 units this season. They’re 5-9 ATS and have an even O/U record of 7-7.

The Broncos are most-recently reeling from a narrow 17-16 defeat to Cleveland last week where Case Keenum completed 31-of-48 passes for 257 yards and two interceptions. Phillip Lindsay (just 24 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running attack while DaeSean Hamilton (seven receptions, 46 yards) and Tim Patrick (five catches, 65 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Oakland just dropped a 30-16 game to Cincinnati a week ago. The defense allowed the Bengals to run for 171 yards on 41 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Joe Mixon had a good showing for Cincinnati, posting 129 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 27 attempts. For Oakland, Derek Carr completed 21-of-38 passes for 263 yards and one touchdown. Doug Martin (39 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the running game while Jordy Nelson (six receptions, 88 yards) and Richard (five catches, 67 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Denver has run the ball on 40.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Oakland has an overall rush percentage of 39.8. The Broncos, however, have rushed for 123 yards/game (including 156 per game against West opponents) and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Raiders haven’t been quite as productive, as they’re putting up 99 rushing yards per contest (105 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.

If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it seems like the Broncos might own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Raiders have tallied 4.2 yards per carry and given up 4.8 YPC to opponents.

The Broncos have averaged 245 yards in the air overall (237 per game against conference opposition) and have 16 passing scores so far. The Raiders have put up 265 pass yards per game (271.0 in the AFC) and have 19 total pass TDs.

Denver has let opponents rush for an average of 120 yards and pass for 278 yards per game. Oakland has allowed 146.4 rushing yards per game and 244.4 to opponents in the air. The Broncos are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.35 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have allowed an 8.15 ANY/A.

Keenum has put up 3,210 passing yards this year. He’s completed 287-of-459 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Keenum’s got a 5.60 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.61 over the last two outings.

Tim Patrick (138 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown this season), Phillip Lindsay (961 rush yards, eight rush TDs, 209 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and DaeSean Hamilton (107 receiving yards) have each played big roles recently.

Derek Carr has put up 3,375 yards, 17 TDs and eight INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A stands at 6.18 for the year and 7.26 over his last two games.

Similar to the Broncos, expect a balanced attack offensively from Oakland this Monday. Jared Cook (732 receiving yards, six receiving touchdowns on the year), Jordy Nelson (538 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Jalen Richard (223 rush yards, 545 receiving yards) have combined for 380 total yards over the last two games.

Denver Broncos at Oakland Raiders NFL Prediction

SU Winner – Broncos, ATS Winner – Raiders, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Denver defense has sacked opposing QBs 42 times this season. Oakland has produced just 12 sacks.

Oakland has lost 12 fumbles in 2018 while Denver has lost three.

The Broncos offense has produced eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Raiders have put up seven such plays.

The Denver defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oakland has given up 12 such plays.

The Denver offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oakland has created seven such runs.

The Broncos defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Raiders have given up 11 such runs.

The Over/Under for Oakland’s last outing was 45.5. The over cashed in that 30-16 defeat to Cincinnati.

Over its last three games, Oakland is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

In its last three matches, Denver is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Denver’s last game going into it was 47.5. The under cashed in the team’s 17-16 loss to Cleveland.

Denver has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 2.9 over its last two.

Oakland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.0 over its past two.

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