The Broncos will face the Texans in this week 13 CFB game, airing on CBS at 1:00 (12/3/23). The contest is set to occur at NRG Stadium in Houston (TX). This showdown between AFC conference opponents has the Texans as 3.5 point home favorites. Will they be able to clinch a win at home and cover the spread?


The Pick: Denver Broncos +3.5

This game will be played at NRG Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 22-19 in favor of the Texans.
  • Our projections have Russell Wilson finishing with 234.692 passing yards on 21.418/37.147 passing.
  • The Texans are projected to finish with 323 yards of offense compared to the 302 yards for the Broncos.

Will the Broncos Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

Through 11 games, the Broncos are 6-5. In the AFC-West standings, they are in 2nd place which puts them 9th in the AFC. Taking a look at the Broncos’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -3.1. This has resulted in an ATS record of 4-6-1.

On offense, the Broncos are averaging 22.4 points per game, putting them 11th in the NFL. As a team, Denver is 25th in the NFL in passing yards per game (185). Their passing yards per attempt figure of 6.4 is 12 in the league.

On the ground, the Broncos have ran the ball an average of 26 times per game and are 12th in rushing yards. So far, they are averaging 4.5 yards per rushing attempt.

The Broncos are 30th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 388.2 yards per contest. Denver’s defense comes in with an average of 25.5 points per game allowed, which is 26th in the NFL.

Is a Home Win Possible for Houston?

During this season, the Texans have an overall record of 6-5, which has them 3rd in the AFC-South. Their performance includes 4-3 as underdogs and 2-2 when they are favored. Looking at the Texans’ scoring margin so far, it currently stands at +2.5. This has led to an ATS record of 5-6.

At 23.5 points per contest, the Houston offense is 8th in the league. In the passing game, the Texans are averaging 276.2 passing yards per game, which is 2nd in the league. So far, 68.4% of their first downs have come through the passing game.

At 98.7 rushing yards per game, the Texans are 22nd in the NFL. This figure has come on an average of 26.5 attempts (16th).

On the defensive side of the ball, the Texans give up an average of 252.5 passing yards and 95.1 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Houston is currently ranked 15th in the league. So far, they are giving up 21.1 points per game and 347.6 yards.