Denver Broncos at New England Patriots Pick and Preview


NFL Betting Preview
Denver Broncos (4-2) at New England Patriots (3-2)
Monday, 8:35 pm Eastern – ESPN

SBG Global Opening Line: Patriots    3   ,  Total  46


It is quite clear now that the New England Patriots are not the same team they were a year ago.  With Tom Brady out for the season due to injury the Patriots have had to turn to Matt Cassel at quarterback and although he has had his moments, he is not ready to start in the NFL.  The Patriots have scored more than 20 points only once this season.  The defense is also suffering, giving up 89 points in their last three games. SBG Global reports that early NFL betting has the public taking Broncos on the Road.


The Patriots may be favored on Monday but history is not on their side. They have struggled against Denver even when they had good teams.  The Patriots lost at home in 2006 to the Broncos and that was with a healthy Tom Brady.  The Broncos have won 16 of the last 19 meetings between the two teams.


If New England can’t get their offense going this week then they may never get it going.  The Broncos have allowed 400 or more total yards three times this season.  The potent Denver offense is also struggling a bit.  They have scored less than 20 points in each of their last three games.


Here are the NFL betting stats for Monday’s game.  The Broncos are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7. The Broncos are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Broncos are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the AFC. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in October. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.


The Patriots are 18-5-1 ATS in their last 24 games in October. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Patriots are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC. The Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games.


SBG Global Current Line: Patriots    3   ,  Total  48.5


The Over is 12-3 in the Broncos last 15 vs. the AFC. The Over is 7-2 in the Broncos last 9 road games. The Over is 20-6-1 in the Broncos last 27 games overall. The Under is 5-2 in the Broncos last 7 Monday games. The Under is 7-1-1 in the Patriots last 9 vs. the AFC. The Under is 6-1-1 in the Patriots last 8 home games. The Over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 games in October.

The Under is 8-3-1 in the Patriots last 12 games overall. The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New England between the two teams.

Pick: Patriots 2 out of 5 units

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