Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens Preview and Pick
- Updated: October 30, 2009
NFL Football Betting Preview
Denver Broncos (6-0) at Baltimore Ravens (3-3)
Sunday November 1st, 1:00PM Eastern
Betus.com betting line – Baltimore -3, 42 O/U
The Baltimore Ravens have dropped 3 straight games over the past month of football, but will surprisingly be slight favorites when they host the undefeated Denver Broncos this Sunday. The Ravens did have a bye last week which should help them get a few of the kinks out. The 3 straight losses may be a bit misleading as two of those fell to New England and Minnesota. The Ravens are still one of the better teams in the league, but they are running out of room for any more slip-ups.
This situational type game has many experts thinking they will be up to the challenge this week against Denver. The Broncos surprising early season run included their latest victory over San Diego 34-23. However, the Broncos also had a week off as they take to the road and try to get a win in Baltimore where only few teams have had success doing so in recent years. The Broncos defense ranks 1st in the NFL, but they will face a big challenge against the Ravens offense that is averaging a stout 28 points per game.
The Ravens offense will be the unit that gives them the advantage heading into the game. The Broncos defense is only allowing 11 points per game and 262 yards of total offense both of which rank 1st in the NFL. However, Ravens QB Joe Flacco looks to provide the solution in thwarting the leagues top defense. Baltimore has shown a lot of faith this season in Flacco as he averaged the 3rd most passing attempts per game in the league. Flacco has been solid in just his 2nd year completing 65% for 1,674 yards in just 6 games with 11 touchdowns and 5 picks.
WR Derrick Mason and running back Ray Rice have been the most consistent targets. Rice actually leads the team in receptions out of the backfield with 33 on the season for 325 yards while Mason leads the team in reception yards with 385 along with 3 scores. Denver sports a mighty secondary, but Flacco has enough targets on the field to find some open guys. The Ravens defense should match-up well against the Denver offense meaning if Flacco and company can find ways to score then they will hand Denver their first loss of the year.
Denver QB Kyle Orton continues to impress. Orton has played nothing like he did during his tenure in Chicago throwing for 9 touchdowns and only 1 interception while completing 64% passing. Orton has picked up right where Jay Cutler left off with the passing game as nearly nobody thought could happen. However, the Denver passing game has been solid averaging 236 yards per game. One big difference this year in the offense is rookie running back Knowshon Moreno.
Moreno and tailback Correll Buckhalter have given the offense some much needed balance. Moreno appears to be adapting well at the next level and is consistently becoming a bigger force for the Broncos. Moreno has 381 yards this season and most of those have been in recent weeks. If Denver can keep the Baltimore defense on their toes with balance, perhaps they can score enough points necessary to overcome the strong scoring attack of Baltimore. However if the Ravens linebackers lead by Ray Lewis shut down the running game, Denver will be in for a long 60 minutes of football.
Betting Trends –
Denver is 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 games. The Broncos are also 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on the road. Baltimore is 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games and reached the over total in 5 of their last 7 games.
Pick – Baltimore too strong at home
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