The Flyers and Ramblers are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN2. The Ramblers will host the game at Joseph J. Gentile Arena in Chicago, IL. Dayton come into this Atlantic 10 conference matchup as the -1 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 136.5 points.

DAYTON FLYERS VS LOYOLA CHICAGO RAMBLERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Loyola Chicago Ramblers +1

This game will be played at Joseph J. Gentile Arena at 9:00 ET on Friday, March 1st.

WHY BET THE LOYOLA CHICAGO RAMBLERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-70 in favor of the Ramblers.
  • Not only will Loyola Chicago pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can Dayton Secure a Road Victory?

Dayton enters their game against Loyola Chicago as a one-point favorite. The Flyers have been the favorite in 23 of their 27 games this season, going 20-3 in those contests. Their overall record this year is 22-5, including a 12-3 mark in Atlantic 10 play.

On the road, Dayton has gone 6-5 this season, and they come into this game with a two-game losing streak away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.3, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4.

Against the spread, Dayton has a 14-12-1 record this season. On the road, they are 6-4-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 road games, the Flyers are 1-2 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this year (136.7). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

Dayton is fresh off a strong offensive showing, putting up 80 points versus Davidson. This output is higher than their season-average of 74 points per game. The team’s top scorer is DaRon Holmes II, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20, while Nate Santos also carries a PPG average of 11.8 into the game.

Currently, the Flyers’ defense holds the 21st rank in the nation, allowing 64.6 points per game. In their most recent game, the Dayton defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Davidson knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 66 points.

Do the Ramblers Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

After a loss to St. Bonaventure, Loyola Chicago will look to bounce back at home, where they are 12-4 this season. The Ramblers have won five straight games at home and have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, Loyola Chicago is 20-8 this season, including a 12-3 record in Atlantic 10 play. The Ramblers have been the underdog in 10 games this season, going 5-5 in those games.

As the underdog, Loyola Chicago has gone 5-5 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS mark is 15-12, and they have an even 8-8 record vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Ramblers are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Loyola Chicago’s games this year (143.4). So far this season, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

In their recent matchup, the Loyola Chicago offense ended with 64 points against St. Bonaventure. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.5% and made 10 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Ramblers offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.5 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

So far this season, the Loyola Chicago defense has been performing well, ranking 66th in the country at 67.6 points allowed per contest. In today’s game vs. Dayton, the Loyola Chicago defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Loyola Chicago made 26 free-throws vs. the Ramblers.