The Flyers and Cougars are set to face off at 8:30 ET on ESPN. The Cougars will host the game at TD Arena in Charleston, SC. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 131.5 points, with the Cougars being the favored team playing at home against the Flyers.
DAYTON FLYERS VS HOUSTON COUGARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dayton Flyers +12.5
This game will be played at TD Arena at 8:30 ET on Sunday, November 19th.
WHY BET THE DAYTON FLYERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-67 in favor of the Cougars.
- Even though we have Houston winning straight-up, we like Dayton at +12.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 141 points.
Can Dayton Secure a Road Victory?
Today, Dayton, who currently holds a 3-1 record, will play against Houston. In their previous ten away games, including those from last year, Dayton went 4-6. As of today’s game, Dayton has a 2-2 ATS record. This includes a split of 1-1 vs. the spread on the road and at home.
Up to this point, games involving Dayton have had an average of 138.2 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 133.6 points. Their over/under record is 3-1-0. The Flyers have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 74 points per game.
In their recent matchup, the Dayton offense ended with 88 points against St. John’s. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 51.8% and made 7 threes. The team’s top scorer is DaRon Holmes II, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 16.2, while Nate Santos also maintains a PPG average of 13.5 leading up to the game.
This season, the Dayton defense has been impressive, holding the 68th position in the country while permitting an average of 66.5 points per contest. So far, the Dayton defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.5 times per game (327th).
Will Houston Find a Way to Win at Home?
Houston comes into their matchup with Dayton boasting an unblemished 4-0 record. The Cougars have played one game away from home and three games in front of their home crowd. As of today’s game, Houston holds a 2-2 ATS record. When playing at home, Houston has gone 1-2 vs. the spread this season and 5-4 in their previous ten home games.
So far, Houston’s games have averaged 129 points per game with the average over/under line being 136.6 points. The Cougars’ last five games have finished with a combined 80 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.
The Cougars’ offense wrapped up their last game with 76 points, aligning closely with their current season average of 77.2 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Cougars have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 211st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 145th in percentage and 138th in three-pointers made.
Coming into today’s game, the Houston defense is giving up an average of 48.8 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Houston’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.3% this season.