Making on a bet on this NBA game featuring the Mavericks versus the Jazz? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on KJZZ. The game will be played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT. The Mavericks come into this Western conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 245 points.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS UTAH JAZZ BETTING PICK

The Pick: Utah Jazz +3

This game will be played at Delta Center at 9:00 ET on Monday, January 1st.

WHY BET THE UTAH JAZZ:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 151-144 in favor of the Jazz.
  • Our projections have Lauri Markkanen finishing with Lauri Markkanen points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Jazz finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 16 threes.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Favored Dallas?

As the Mavericks take on the Jazz, they are the slight 3-point road favorites. Overall, Dallas is 19-14 and leads the Southwest Division.

In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are currently in 6th place. Against other teams in the West, Dallas has gone 14-11 compared to 5-3 in non-conference matchups.

So far, the Mavericks have been the favorite in 20 of their 33 games and have a scoring margin of +6.8 points per game in these games. Dallas’ straight-up favored record is 15-5.

Their average scoring differential on the road this season is just +.1 points per contest, as they have gone 11-7 on the road. Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in three straight road games to improve to 12-6 for the season.

This year, the majority of Dallas’ games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 245 points. The average OU line for the season has been 234.1. Dallas’ over/under record in games with higher OU lines than 245 is 1-2, and their OU record for the season is 21-12.

Coming off a game where they put up 132 points versus the Warriors, the Mavericks are coming in above their season-average of 119.2 points per game. Luka Doncic led the team in scoring with 39 points and Dante Exum added 19 points in their last game.

Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.8 points per contest. Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.4 turnovers per game, which is 1st in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 25th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.3 rejections per game.

Will the Utah Defense Show Up at Home?

With a record of 14-19, the Jazz will look to pick up a win at home today as they host the Mavericks. Coming into the game, they are 3-point underdogs. If they are able to cover, it will snap their straight-up loss vs. the spread win streaks of three games.

In the Western Conference, the Jazz are currently in 12th place and sit 4th in the Northwest. Against other teams in the West, Utah has gone 9-15 compared to 5-4 in non-conference games.

When playing at home, the Jazz have put together an average scoring margin of +3.2 points per contest and have a home record of 9-5 this season. Their ATS record at home is 11-3, and they have each of their last three ATS.

So far, Utah games have had an average over/under line of 230.2, and they have an over/under record of 18-14-1. Each of their last two games have finished below today’s line of 245 points. Their over/under record in games with higher lines than 245 is 0-0.

In their most recent game, the Jazz’s offense put up 117 points, which is about the same as their season average of 113.4. When it comes to shooting, the Jazz are 26th in the league with a field goal percentage of 45%. Behind the arc, they are 24th in percentage and 9th in three-point makes.

On average, the Utah defense is giving up 118.8 points per game (23rd). Right now, they are on a 4 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. The Jazz defense is coming off a game in which they held the Heat offense to just 46.2% shooting. Overall, they gave up 109 points to Miami.