At 7:30 ET, the Raptors will host the Mavericks in a non-conference matchup. Toronto (22-36) has won three straight and is currently 12th in the Eastern Conference. The Mavericks (33-25) are 8th in the West and have lost two in a row.

Dallas (-3) is the favored team and is -156 on the moneyline. The over/under line is 240.5. The game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and can be seen on SN.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -3

This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena at 7:30 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 155-119 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.3% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can The Mavericks Secure a Road Victory?

Dallas is favored by 3 points today and has a 24-9 record as the favorite this season. In their games as the favorite, the Mavericks have gone 20-13 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6 points.

In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 8th place with a record of 33-25. Within the Southwest Division, they are in 2nd place.

The Mavericks have lost two straight games after falling to the Cavaliers by a score of 121-119. In that game, the O/U line was 230.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 4-point underdogs.

This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 29-29, with an average of 236.1 points per game. In their last game, the combined scoring was 240 points.

Against Western Conference teams, the Mavericks are 21-18 compared to 12-7 in non-conference games. On the road, they have a record of 15-12.

This season, the Mavericks have been one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 3rd in three-pointers made per game (15.1) and 2nd in three-point attempts per game (40.1). Overall, they are 11th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%.

When it comes to scoring, Dallas is 7th in the league at 118.6 points per game. However, they are actually averaging more points at home (120.5) than on the road (116.5).

So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 12th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

On average, the Dallas defense is giving up 117.5 points per game (21st). Right now, they are on a 2 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.9 turnovers per game, which is 6th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 23rd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.5 rejections per game.

Does Toronto Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

The Raptors have won three straight games and are currently 12th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 22-36. In their last game, they defeated the Pacers by a score of 130-122.

Toronto has an ATS record of 29-29 this season, including a 13-15 mark at home and 16-14 on the road. They have covered the spread in their last two home games and have an average scoring differential of -1.1 points per game at home.

As the underdog, the Raptors are 11-27 straight-up and 20-18 against the spread. Today, they are getting 3 points as the underdog and have gone 11-9 vs. the spread as the underdog.

This season, Toronto’s games have averaged 231.9 points per game, which is lower than today’s O/U line of 240.5. The Raptors have gone over the O/U line in their last two games and have an O/U record of 31-26-1 for the season.

Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Raptors are 15-23 compared to 7-13 against the West. Their win over the Pacers improved their ATS record vs. the East to 1-11.

At home, the Raptors are scoring 111.4 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. Overall, they are 17th in scoring at 114.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Toronto is 14th in the league at 99.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, the Raptors are shooting 47% from the field, which is 14th in the NBA. In terms of two-point shooting, Toronto is 15th in the league at 54%. From three-point range, they are 22nd in the NBA at 35%.

So far this season, the Raptors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 48.3% of their games. In terms of assists, Toronto is 3rd in the league at 29.3 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, they are 7th in the NBA.

Coming into the game, the Raptors’ defense is giving up an average of 117.5 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 58.6% of their games. Inside the arc, the Raptors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.9% and 37.2% from three-point territory.