Southwest Division foes will collide when the San Antonio Spurs (26-36) challenge the Dallas Mavericks (39-26) at the AT&T Center. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 10, 2020.
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs Odds Preview
In the Mavericks’ last game, they lost a close one to the Indiana Pacers, 112-109, despite being 6.5-point favorites. With 36 points on 13-for-26 shooting, Luka Doncic was the game’s leading scorer. Indiana had a better effective field goal percentage (0.568 vs. 0.505). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better free throw rate (0.187 vs. 0.136). The two teams combined to put up 221 points, which came in just over the projected point total of 219.
The Spurs were unable to cover as 4.5-point favorites in their 132-129 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last game. With 17 points, seven rebounds and six assists, San Antonio’s Dejounte Murray put together a good performance. Cleveland held the Spurs to an offensive rebounding percentage of 11.5 (below their season average of 19.8). San Antonio, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 13.7). The two squads combined to account for 261 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 226.5.
These two teams have already met three times this year, with the Mavericks winning all three. In the most recent matchup, the Spurs lost 109-103, unable to cover as 4-point underdogs. DeMar DeRozan recorded 27 points, nine assists and eight rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 212 points, which was 21 points below the projected point total of 233 points. Dallas had a better free throw rate (0.233 vs. 0.152). San Antonio, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 vs. 10.6).
Games including these teams have a tendency to finish over the projected point total. Dallas games have finished over 61.5 percent of the time, while San Antonio games have gone over 61.3 percent of the time. The Mavericks hold a significant advantage in terms of straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 39-26 SU and 37-28 ATS, while the Spurs are 26-36 SU and 23-37-2 ATS.
San Antonio could put on a ball-control clinic in this showdown. San Antonio ranks first in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.6 percent), while Dallas forces the fewest turnovers (11.4 percent). Furthermore, the Mavericks’ top-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 114.6) will square off against the Spurs’ 25th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 111.7).
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over
The Mavericks rank fifth in rebounds per game (47.0) while the Spurs rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
Dallas ranks third in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while San Antonio ranks seventh (4.4).
San Antonio ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3) while Dallas ranks 27th (16.7).
Dallas is 26th in the NBA with 44.5 points in the paint per game while San Antonio is 29th with 43.5 points in the paint per game.
San Antonio is 9-20 ATS at home, while Dallas is 23-9 ATS on the road.
The total has gone over in 16 of the Spurs’ 29 home games, while 19 of the Mavericks’ 32 road games have gone over.
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, San Antonio is 2-0 and Dallas is 10-0.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Mavericks are 39-24 and the Spurs are 26-31.
The Spurs rank first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while the Mavericks rank eighth (7.0).
Dallas ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (41.5) while San Antonio ranks 28th (28.7).
The Mavericks rank sixth in second chance points per game (14.2) while the Spurs rank 28th (10.8).
The Mavericks rank second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Spurs rank sixth (14.9).
Dallas ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (23.6) while San Antonio ranks 27th (25.8).
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its past five games, Dallas is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Spurs’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.0, up from 2.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 106.2 points per game (4.2 below their season average).