Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs Betting Pick & Prediction 3/10/25
The San Antonio Spurs (-255) host the Dallas Mavericks (+209) in a Southwest Division matchup. The Spurs are favored by 6.5 points and the over/under is 229.
San Antonio (26-36) is 13th in the Western Conference, while Dallas (32-33) is 10th. The Mavericks have lost five straight games, while the Spurs have dropped two in a row.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS SAN ANTONIO SPURS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Antonio Spurs -6.5
This game will be played at Frost Bank Center at 8:30 ET on Monday, March 10th.
WHY BET THE SAN ANTONIO SPURS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-81 in favor of the Spurs.
- Our projections have De’Aaron Fox finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Spurs finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.7% and knocking down 13 threes.
No Pressure for Dallas as Away Dogs
The Mavericks fell to 32-33 on the season after a 125-116 loss to the Suns on Sunday. Dallas, who were +6.5 point underdogs at home, didn’t cover the spread. The total points of 241.5 exceeded the O/U line of 229.5 by 11.5 points.
A 13-0 run by the Suns early in the game put Dallas in a tough spot, as they went from trailing 26-24 to 37-26. The Mavericks managed to outscore the Suns 30-28 in the 2nd quarter, but a 37-32 3rd quarter for Phoenix left Dallas down 97-86 heading into the 4th. Despite another 30-28 edge in the final quarter, the Mavericks couldn’t close the gap.
Naji Marshall led the Mavericks with 34 points, 10 assists, and 9 rebounds in Sunday’s loss to the Suns, shooting 59.1% from the field and hitting 3 threes at 42.9%. Klay Thompson added 26 points, connecting on 5 threes despite shooting 35.7% from deep and 40% overall.
As a team, Dallas hit 17 threes at a 40.5% rate, finishing with a 48.9% field goal percentage overall. Marshall scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Thompson added 12 in the 4th. Dante Exum also contributed 10 of his 12 points in the final period.
Defensively, the Mavericks struggled, giving up 125 points to the Suns, who shot 58% from the field. Dallas allowed 32 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 3rd, while the 2nd and 4th quarters saw them give up 28 points each.
The Mavericks did well in limiting Phoenix’s three-point shooting, allowing just 10 threes on 35% shooting. They sent the Suns to the line 18 times, with Phoenix converting 17 free throws. Dallas recorded 8 steals and 2 blocks in the game.
Do the Spurs Stand a Chance at Home?
The Spurs dropped to 26-36 on the season after a 141-124 road loss to the Timberwolves on Sunday. San Antonio entered the game as +11 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 265 points exceeded the O/U line of 232.5 by 32.5 points.
San Antonio fell behind early, trailing 37-29 after the 1st quarter. They played the 2nd quarter evenly, both teams scoring 31 points, but Minnesota pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Spurs 41-34. San Antonio entered the 4th quarter down 109-94 and couldn’t mount a comeback, as the Timberwolves edged them 32-30 in the final period.
De’Aaron Fox led the Spurs with 22 points, hitting 4 threes at 66.7% in their loss to the Timberwolves. Stephon Castle added 20 points and 7 rebounds, scoring 8 points in both the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
San Antonio shot 55.3% from the field, but made just 11 threes at 36.7%. Fox scored 8 points in the 2nd quarter, while Devin Vassell also had 7 of his 13 points in the opening period.
The Spurs struggled defensively against the Timberwolves, giving up 141 points in the loss. San Antonio allowed 37 points in the 1st quarter and 41 in the 3rd, with Minnesota shooting 55% from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Timberwolves hit 21 threes at a 50% clip. San Antonio also allowed 14 offensive rebounds. Defensively, the Spurs recorded 8 steals and 3 blocks.