The 2022 NBA Playoffs continue Tuesday, May 10, with Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals between Dallas and Phoenix at Footprint Center, so we bring you the best Mavericks vs. Suns betting pick and odds.
The series is tied at 2-2, as each team has emerged victorious on the home court. The Suns open as firm 6-point home favorites for Tuesday’s contest, while the Mavericks are listed as +210 moneyline dogs with a total of 213.0 points on MyBookie Sportsbook.
The Mavs made it rain from deep in Game 4
The Dallas Mavericks relied on their defense to guide them through a couple of home games against the Suns. After a 103-94 victory in Game 3, the Mavs beat the Suns 111-101 as 3-point underdogs in Game 4 this past Sunday.
Dallas dominated Phoenix from start to finish in Game 4, outscoring its opponents 37-25 in the first quarter. The Mavs made 20 triples on 44 attempts from deep (45.5%) and committed only 11 turnovers. Luka Doncic led the way with 26 points and 11 assists, while Dorian Finney-Smith went bonkers, finishing with 24 points on 8-for-12 shooting from beyond the 3-point line.
Jalen Brunson accounted for 18 points and four dimes on Sunday. Maxi Kleber added 11 points and seven rebounds off the bench, and both Kleber and Brunson had a plus-16 net rating. Brunson stepped up in Game 3, tallying 28 points and five assists. He’s scored only 22 points through the first two games of the series.
The Suns need more from Chris Paul
The Phoenix Suns surpassed a 120-point mark in each of the first two contests against the Mavericks. Over the previous two, the Suns didn’t look like the same team, and Chris Paul’s slump is arguably a key reason.
After posting 12 points, four assists, and seven turnovers in Game 3, CP3 accounted for five points and seven dimes in Game 4. The 12-time All-Star played only 23 minutes last Sunday before exiting with six fouls.
Devin Booker had 35 points and seven assists on Sunday, but it wasn’t enough. Deandre Ayton posted a 14-point, 11-rebound double-double, while Mikal Bridges added only six points on 3-for-9 shooting from the field. The Suns made 46.4% of their field goals and 36.0% of their 3-pointers (9-for-25).
- 6-14 ATS in the last 20 games against the Suns
- 4-1 ATS in the last five games at home
- 4-1 ATS in the last five outings as favorites
Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Pick
I’m expecting the Suns to play much better on the home court than they did in the previous two games in Dallas. Chris Paul will be fired up to bounce back in front of the home fans, and the Suns certainly have enough weapons to deal with the Mavericks’ defense.
As I’ve mentioned, the Suns hit a 120-point mark in both outings at home. On the other side, the Mavericks needed eight triples from Dorian Finney-Smith to reach 110. Covering a 6-point spread won’t be an easy task at all, but give me the hosts and points, as I’m expecting the Suns to come out on top.
Pick: Take Phoenix Suns -6.0 at -110
Over the last two games, the Mavs and Suns have averaged only 91.7 possessions per 48 minutes. Dallas has managed to slow things down after a couple of losses at Footprint Center in Phoenix, and the Mavs have to continue with this approach.
Phoenix prefers to play at a much faster tempo. The Suns recorded 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes this past regular season (8th in the NBA), while the Mavericks tallied 95.4, playing at the slowest pace in the league.
Pick: Go under 213.0 points at -110