At 10:00 ET, the Oklahoma City Thunder (-446) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+347) at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are currently favored by 10 points, and the over/under line for the game is set at 237.5.

This Western Conference matchup will be televised on TNT. The Mavericks are 8th in the West with a record of 38-28, while the Thunder are 2nd in the conference at 45-20. Dallas has won four straight games.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +10

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, March 14th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 122-116 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.2% and knocking down 18 threes.

Is a Road Win Possible for the Mavericks?

The Mavericks have won four straight games and are 38-28 overall this season. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 8th place and are 2nd in the Southwest Division.

On the road, Dallas has an 18-13 straight-up record and has won their last two games on the road. Their ATS record on the road is 20-11 compared to 16-19 at home.

Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in their last four games and have an overall ATS record of 36-30. As the underdog, they are 11-15 ATS this season.

In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Warriors by a score of 109-99. They were favored by 8.5 points going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 234 points.

This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 33-33, and their games have averaged 236.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 237.5, and the team has hit the under in their last two games.

The Mavericks are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA, averaging 119 points per game. This season, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.1% of their games. On the road, they are averaging 118.1 points per game.

Dallas has been one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams, ranking 3rd in made threes per game. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc. In terms of pace, the Mavericks are 11th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, Dallas is 5th in the league with a 57% success rate. In terms of free throws, they are 14th in made free throws per game and 10th in attempts.

Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 117.5 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 63.6% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 11.9 per game, which is 6th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 22nd in blocked shots at 4.8 per game.

Can the Thunder Deliver Being Favored at Home?

Today, the Thunder are favored by 10 points at home against the Mavericks. This season, Oklahoma City has been favored in 49 of their 65 games, going 36-13 straight-up and 29-20 against the spread. When favored, they have an average scoring margin of +9.7 points per game.

In their last game against the Pacers, the Thunder lost by a score of 121-111. They were favored by 5.5 points going into the game, giving them an ATS loss. The O/U line for the game was 240.5, and the teams combined for 232 points.

For the season, the Thunder are 45-20, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 28-15 compared to 17-5 in non-conference games.

Oklahoma City’s ATS record for the season is 40-25, including a 22-11 record at home. The Thunder have covered the spread in two straight games on the road, and their average scoring margin at home is +11.5 PPG.

The Thunder have gone under the O/U line in three straight games and have a season record of 34-30-1. Today’s O/U line of 237.5 is higher than 43 of their previous games.

This season, the Thunder have been one of the NBA’s most efficient offenses, ranking 3rd in points per game at 120.7. At home, they have been even better, averaging 122.7 points per game.

Oklahoma City has been an excellent three-point shooting team, leading the league in three-point shooting percentage at 39%. On average, they make 13.4 threes per game.

When it comes to two-point shooting, the Thunder are 6th in field goal percentage at 56%. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in field goal percentage at 49%.

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 13th in the league in points allowed at 113.0 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 104.7 points per contest (21st). The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.7% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.