Looking to win big? The Mavericks and Timberwolves face off at 8:00 ET on BSNX. The Timberwolves are hosting the game at Target Center in Minneapolis, MN. The odds for this Western conference game currently have the Timberwolves as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 229 points.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +9

This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 119-112 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 5 rebounds and 7 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.6% and knocking down 16 threes.

Can Dallas Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

As the Mavericks get set to take on the Timberwolves, they find themselves as 9-point underdogs. So far, Dallas has gone 18-13 overall and hold the 6th seed in the West.

When playing on the road, the Mavs have gone 10-6 and have an average scoring margin of 0 points per contest. On the road, their record vs. the spread is 10-6.

Today’s over/under line of 229 is slightly below their average over/under line of 234 for the season. Dallas’ over/under record for the season is 19-12. In their most recent game, they fell to the Cavs by a score of 113-110, but did not cover the spread as 6.5-point favorites.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks’ offense scored a total of 110 points vs. the Cavaliers. In that game, they shot 10/37 from beyond the arc and had a field goal percentage of 44.3%. Overall, the Mavericks’ offense has been effective inside the arc, shooting 56% on two-point field goals. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the NBA in possessions per game (99.9).

Looking at the Mavericks defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 117.6 points per game (21st). On two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.7% and allowing 36.5% from beyond the arc.

Do the Timberwolves Stand a Chance at Home?

As the Timberwolves get set to host the Mavericks, they are not only leading their division, but they also hold the top spot in the Western Conference at 22-7. So far, Minnesota has played 12 of their 22 games at home and have picked up 12 wins at home compared to just one loss.

Minnesota will not only be looking to extend their home winning streak to six games, but they are also favored for the 10th straight game. So far, they have gone 18-3 as the favorite, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +11.9 points per game.

When favored at home, their ATS record is 8-5, and they come into this game with an average point differential of +9.4 points per game in these games. Minnesota’s overall ATS record for the season is 15-13.

When looking at their over/under record, the Timberwolves have combined with their opponents to score an average of 220.6 points per game. Their games have averaged over/under lines of 223.2 points, and they have an over/under record of 16-13.

In their last game, the Timberwolves took on the Thunder and were beaten by a score of 129-106. Going into that game, they were 1.5-point underdogs and ended up losing by 23 points.

So far this season, the Timberwolves are averaging 113.3 points per game, which puts them 20th in the league. In 55.2% of their games, they have scored more than their opponent’s defensive average. Anthony Edwards had 25 points in the game against the Thunder, while Mike Conley added 17 points.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have been a better defensive team at home, giving up 101.1 PPG at home compared to their overall season average of 107.3 points per game. Overall, they are the 1st ranked defensive unit in the league. In their previous game, the Timberwolves’ defense struggled against the Thunder, giving up 129 points on a field goal percentage of 46%.