At 8:00 ET, the Minnesota Timberwolves (-1141) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+711) in a Western Conference matchup. The Timberwolves are currently 1st in the West with a 33-14 record, while the Mavericks are 7th in the West at 26-21.
BSN will have TV coverage for this game, which will be played at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Minnesota is a 14-point favorite, and the over/under line is set at 223.5.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +14
This game will be played at Target Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-109 in favor of the Timberwolves.
- Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with Anthony Edwards points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Timberwolves finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.4% and knocking down 13 threes.
Do the Mavericks Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Dallas has an O/U record of 26-21 this season, and their games have averaged a combined 237.5 points per game. Today’s O/U line of 223.5 is lower than their season average of 235.4.
The Mavericks are 9-12 ATS as underdogs this season and have gone 8-13 straight-up as the underdog. As the underdog, they have an ATS scoring differential of -5.8 points per game.
On the road, the Mavericks are 13-8 ATS this season, and their ATS record for the season is 24-23. They have lost two straight ATS and are 11-15 ATS at home.
In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Magic by a score of 131-129. The O/U line for that game was 227 points, and Dallas was favored by 4.5 points. Overall, the Mavericks are 26-21 this season and are in 7th place in the Western Conference.
So far this season, the Mavericks are 6th in the NBA in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 117.6 points compared to 120.0 at home.
When it comes to pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of shooting, the Mavericks are 16th in field goal percentage at 47%.
One area where the Mavericks have excelled is three-point shooting. They are 2nd in both three-point makes and attempts, hitting 37% of their shots from deep. In terms of free throws, Dallas is 16th in makes and 10th in attempts.
On defense, the Mavericks are ranked 21st in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 68.1% of their games. In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 4th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 26th in rejections, averaging 4.3 blocked shots each game.
Do the Timberwolves Stand a Chance at Home?
Minnesota is the favorite today against the Mavericks (-14) and has a record of 28-9 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they have gone 17-19 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +7.7 points per game.
In the Western Conference, the Timberwolves are in 1st place with a record of 33-14. They have also gone 23-23 against the spread this season, including an ATS record of 11-10 at home.
The Timberwolves’ O/U record for the season is 23-24, and the under has hit in their last four games. Today’s O/U line of 223.5 is lower than their season average of 220.4 points per game.
Minnesota’s last game was a 107-101 win over the Thunder. They were 2.5-point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 224 points.
At home, the Timberwolves have averaged 112.7 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. Overall, they are 22nd in scoring at 112.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 25th in the league at 97.4 possessions per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Timberwolves are 8th in the NBA at 48%. They have been an efficient three-point shooting team, hitting 39% of their attempts (2nd). In terms of three-point attempts, Minnesota is 27th in the league.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have outscored the NBA scoring average in 42.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league with 26.3 per game. Minnesota is also 27th in offensive rebounds.
Not only do the Timberwolves’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 1st in the league in points allowed. Minnesota has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 5th in the league over their last three games at 102.7 PPG allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Timberwolves defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 50.8% while allowing 35.6% from downtown.