Last Updated: 2019-02-25
The Los Angeles Clippers (33-28) will be at home in the Staples Center when they take on the Dallas Mavericks (26-33). Action starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers Free Preview
The Mavericks fell to the Utah Jazz in their last matchup, 125-109. They were not able to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. Dallas’ Trey Burke put up 20 points and seven rebounds in the contest. Utah did an excellent job of making free throws (29-33; 87.9 percent). Dallas, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 2.8 (better than their season average of 13.1). The two teams combined to score 234 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 214.5.
In the Clippers’ last game, they were 3-point favorites and were defeated by the Denver Nuggets, 123-96. Lou Williams was the game’s high scorer with 24 points on 6-for-15 shooting. Denver held the Clippers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 13.7 (below their season average of 21.8). Los Angeles, on the other hand, did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (33-37; 89.2 percent). The two teams collectively scored 219 points, which was just over the projected point total of 217.
It will be a showdown of opposite tempos as the fast-breaking Clippers will look to push the more grind-it-out Mavericks. The Clippers rank ninth in possessions per game while the Mavericks are 19th. Additionally, the Mavericks rank fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.223), while the Clippers rank 27th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.224).
Of Dallas’ 59 games, 32 have finished under the O/U total, while 32 of Los Angeles’ 60 games have finished over the projected point total. The Clippers have the superior straight up (SU) record (33-28 vs. 26-33), but the Mavericks have been superior against the spread (ATS) (35-24 vs. 33-27).
These two teams have met three times already this season, with the Mavericks winning two. DeAndre Jordan put up 13 points and 16 rebounds in the most recent matchup, in which the Mavericks defeated the Clippers 106-98, covering as 3-point favorites. The two teams combined for 204 points, which was 19.5 points below the projected point total of 223.5 points. Dallas’ effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Los Angeles. The Mavericks had a rate of 0.531 while the Clippers posted a mark of 0.418.
Mavericks vs. Clippers ATS Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
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The Mavericks rank 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.7) while the Clippers rank 27th (18.2).
Dallas ranks 22nd in steals per game (7.0) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (6.6).
Dallas ranks 12th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
Los Angeles ranks 22nd in assists per game (23.2) while Dallas ranks 25th (22.6).
Dallas is 15-14 ATS on the road, while Los Angeles is 15-13 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 15 of the Mavericks’ 29 road games, while 17 of the Clippers’ 28 home games have gone over.
Los Angeles is 6-1 when they allow less than 100 points, while Dallas is 10-3.
The Clippers are 33-19 when they score above 100 points, while the Mavericks are 25-27.
The Mavericks average 13.3 second chance points per game, which ranks 18th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.1).
Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while Los Angeles ranks last (24.8).
The Mavericks rank eighth in blocks allowed per game (4.7) while the Clippers rank 28th (6.0).
The Clippers average 50.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 12th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.8).
Los Angeles averages 13.0 fast break points per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (17.2).
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Dallas is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.4, up from 0.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 104.0 points per game (4.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.4 points per game (5.3 above their season average).