Southwest Division foes will collide when the Houston Rockets (32-23) square off against the Dallas Mavericks (26-29) at the Toyota Center. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Monday, February 11, 2019, and it can be seen on NBATV.
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets Free Preview
The Mavericks edged the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game, 102-101, despite being 6-point underdogs. Luka Doncic led Dallas in scoring with 28 points on 9-for-20 shooting. The Mavericks knocked down 18 of their 23 free throws (78.3 percent), while the Trail Blazers had a turnover percentage of 17.1 (above their season average of 12.0). The two teams combined to put up 203 points, which was well under the projected point total of 226.
The last time the Rockets were in action, they were 2.5-point favorites and fell to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 117-112. With 18 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists, Houston’s Chris Paul put together a good performance. Oklahoma City held the Rockets to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 24.1). Houston, meanwhile, forced the Thunder into a turnover percentage of 15.7 (above their season average of 11.7). The two clubs collectively scored 229 points, which came in under the O/U total of 238.
The physical Dallas offense might be living from the foul line in this showdown. The Mavericks rank fourth in the NBA with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.223, while Houston ranks 26th in FTA rate allowed (0.219).
Of Dallas’ 54 games with betting action, 30 have finished under the O/U total, while 30 of Houston’s 55 games have finished over the projected point total. The Rockets hold the substantial advantage straight up (SU) (32-23 vs. 26-29), but the Mavericks have been better against the spread (ATS) (34-20 vs. 25-29-1).
These two teams have met twice already this season, with the Mavericks winning both. James Harden led both teams with 35 points in the most recent game, in which the Rockets lost 107-104, unable to cover as 3.5-point favorites. The two teams combined for 211 points, which was 8 points below the projected point total of 219 points. The Mavericks dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 35.0 and a free throw rate of 0.157. For those same stats, the Rockets were 25.0 and 0.128, respectively.
Mavericks at Rockets Odds Prediction
Free Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
The Rockets rank 11th in blocks per game (5.4) while the Mavericks rank 25th (4.5).
Dallas averages 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Houston ranks 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).
Houston ranks 12th in steals per game (8.3) while Dallas ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Dallas is 25th in the league with 22.6 assists per game while Houston is 28th with 20.6 assists per game.
Dallas is 15-12 ATS on the road with 15 unders, 11 overs and 1 push.
At home, Houston is 15-12-1 ATS with 18 overs and 10 unders.
Houston is 9-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Dallas is 10-3.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Rockets are 30-15 and the Mavericks are 25-23.
The Rockets average 44.4 three pointers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 12th in three pointers allowed per game (31.1).
Dallas ranks 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.1) while Houston ranks 29th (53.2).
The Rockets rank 12th in fast break points allowed per game (13.3) while the Mavericks rank 29th (17.2).
The Rockets average 17.5 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
Dallas ranks 11th in rebounds per game (45.9) while Houston ranks 27th (41.8).
Houston is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its past five outings, Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 2.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (7.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.4 points per game (7.1 below their season average).
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