The Dallas Mavericks (-128) are on a six-game winning streak and are favored by two points over the Houston Rockets (+106). The over/under line is set at 230 points.

This division matchup will take place at the Toyota Center in Houston. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET and the game will be televised on Spac.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks -2

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 7:00 ET on Sunday, March 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 113-109 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.1% and knocking down 16 threes.

Will Dallas Make it Happen on the Road?

The Mavericks have won six straight games and are the favorites (-2) heading into today’s matchup with the Rockets. This season, the Mavericks have been favored in 44 of their 73 games and have a record of 33-11 in those games.

Dallas’ ATS record for the season is 42-31, and they have covered the spread in their last four games. On the road, the Mavericks are 24-12 ATS compared to 18-19 ATS at home.

Looking at their O/U record for the season, the Mavericks are 34-39, and their games have averaged a combined 235 points. In their last six games, the under has hit.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Kings by a score of 107-103. Dallas was favored by 1 point in that game, and the O/U line was 232.5.

In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 6th place with a record of 44-29. Against the Western Conference, they are 28-19 and 9-5 against teams in the Southwest Division.

This season, the Mavericks are one of the top offensive teams in the league, averaging 118.6 points per game (6th). On the road, they are scoring 117.9 points per game (5th).

When it comes to pace, Dallas is 12th in the NBA with 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 11th at 48%.

One area where the Mavericks excel is three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the league in made threes (14.6) and 2nd in three-point attempts (39.3). Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 20th in the NBA, permitting 116.4 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 55.0% while allowing 36.7% from downtown.

Can the Rockets Offense Score Enough at Home?

As the Rockets look to extend their winning streak to 12 games, they will be facing the Mavericks as 2-point underdogs. This season, Houston has been the underdog in 45 of their 73 games and have gone 15-30 in those games.

When looking at their ATS record, the Rockets are 42-30 for the season, including going 27-10 at home. They have covered the spread in their last seven home games and have an average scoring margin of +7.1 points per game at home.

Going into today’s game, the Rockets are in 11th place in the Western Conference with a record of 38-35. In the Southwest Division, they are in 3rd place.

In their last game, the Rockets defeated the Jazz by a score of 101-100. The O/U line for that game was 230.5, and Houston was favored by 8.5 points. This improved their ATS record to 19-9 as the favorite.

This season, the Rockets have an O/U record of 34-39, and their games have averaged a combined 226.6 points. Out of their 73 games, 55 have had lower O/U lines than today’s line of 230.

At home this season, the Rockets have scored 116.7 points per game, which is 13th in the NBA. Overall, they are 15th in the league in scoring at 114.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Houston is 13th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to their three-point shooting, the Rockets are 16th in the NBA with an average of 12.5 made threes per game. However, they are just 23rd in three-point shooting percentage at 35%. Overall, Houston is 26th in field goal percentage at 46%.

One area where the Rockets have been strong this season is getting to the free-throw line. They are 6th in the league in free throw attempts at 23.5 per game. In terms of assists, Houston is 25th in the NBA at 24.7 per game.

Not only do the Rockets’ overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 10th in the league in points allowed. Houston has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 21st in the league over their last three games at 106 PPG allowed. Opponents are hitting 53.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.2% of their three-point attempts.