The Mavericks and Rockets are set to face off at 8:00 ET on Spac. The Rockets will host the game at Toyota Center in Houston, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 226.5 points, and the Rockets are the home favorites against the Mavericks in a Southwest division matchup.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +8.5

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, December 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 114-105 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Tim Hardaway Jr. finishing with Tim Hardaway Jr. points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.3% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can Dallas Stun the Crowd at Toyota Center?

As they prepare to take on the Rockets, the Mavericks come in with an overall record of 16-11 and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. This season, the Mavericks are 9-5 on the road compared to 7-6 at home.

Currently, Dallas holds an above .500 ATS record of 14-13 so far this year. The Mavericks maintain an ATS record of 9-5 on the road, while they have a 5-8 record vs. the spread when playing at home.

The Mavericks offense is coming off a game where they scored 111 points against the Clippers. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.9% and connected on 14 threes. Luka Doncic is leading the team in scoring at 32.7 points per contest. Tim Hardaway Jr. has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 17.4 going into the game.

Coming into the game, the Mavericks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 117.7 points per game (21).

In their previous matchup vs. the Clippers, the Mavericks’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 55% leading to 120 points.

Does Houston Stand a Chance at Home?

Heading into their matchup with the Mavericks, the Rockets come in at 13-12 overall and are hoping to end their three game losing skid. When playing away from home, the Rockets are 2-10 this season, compared to their 11-2 mark at home.

Presently, Houston boasts an ATS record of 16-8, which is above .500 against the spread. In their last two road games, Houston has been unable to cover the spread, and they hold an ATS record of 5-6 on the road as opposed to 11-2 at home.

Houston’s offense had a good outing, putting up 127 points against the Hawks. They achieved a 49.4% field goal percentage and went 23/23 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Rockets have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 24th in the league In terms of three-pointers, they are 18th in percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

This season, the Rockets defense has been impressive, holding the 2 position in the league while permitting an average of 108.4 points per contest.

In their previous matchup vs. the Hawks, the Rockets’ defense struggled, giving up a field goal percentage of 51% leading to 134 points.