Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction 02/08/18

Thursday, 02/08/2018 at 10:35 pm DALLAS (17-38) at GOLDEN STATE (42-13)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
511DALLAS 221 101.5 103.9 17-38 27-28-0 23-31-1 44.5% 76.7% 36% 46.7% 76.4% 36.7%
512GOLDEN STATE -14 115.5 108 42-13 23-30-2 29-26-0 50.9% 81% 39.3% 44.3% 76% 36.3%

Last Updated: 2018-02-08

The league’s top scoring team will be at home in ORACLE Arena, when the Golden State Warriors (41-13) take on the Dallas Mavericks (17-37). Action gets underway at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 8, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Southwest.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

Both teams lost in their last matchup. The Warriors were blown out by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 125-105, while the Mavericks lost a close one to the Los Angeles Clippers, 104-101.

Dallas did a fantastic job of converting from the free throw line (18-20; 90.0 percent) while Golden State had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.8 (above their season average of 21.3). Golden State was led by Kevin Durant, who had 33 points and six rebounds. Wesley Matthews led the way for Dallas, putting up 23 points and five assists.

Contrasting paces will be on display in this meeting. Golden State prefers to play quickly (fourth in possessions per game), while Dallas likes to grind-it-out (26th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Mavericks rank second in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Warriors rank 25th in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.1 percent).

Games involving the Mavericks have typically finished under the projected point total (57.4 percent). Dallas holds records of 17-37 straight up (SU) and 27-27 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Dallas, a little over half of Warriors games have finished over the O/U total. Golden State is 41-13 SU, but they are just 22-30-2 ATS.

The Warriors have won all three matchups against the Mavericks this season. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to put up 247 points, well over the projected point total of 220.5. Golden State won 125-122 but was unable to cover as an 8.5-point favorite. The Warriors’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over the Mavericks. Golden State had a rate of 17.5, while Dallas posted a mark of 15.2. Durant put up a double-double in the victory with 25 points and 12 rebounds.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Warriors rank 12th in rebounds per game (44.2) while the Mavericks rank 27th (40.6).

Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.9) while Dallas ranks 28th (3.7).

The Mavericks rank first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.9) while the Warriors rank 25th (18.6).

Golden State averages 20.7 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. Dallas ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (13.6).

Dallas ranks 10th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Golden State ranks 28th (9.0).

The Mavericks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.1) while the Warriors rank 26th (47.4).

The Warriors rank first in assists per game (30.3) while the Mavericks rank 20th (22.2).

Dallas averages 32.3 three pointers per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Golden State ranks 13th in three pointers allowed per game (28.9).

Dallas ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (13.7).

Dallas is 13-10 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Golden State is 11-2.

The Mavericks are 11-16 when they score more than 100 points, while the Warriors are 38-9.

Golden State is 9-15-2 ATS at home, while Dallas is 15-11 ATS on the road.

The total has gone under in 14 of the Mavericks’ 26 road games, while 13 of the Warriors’ 26 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

In their last five games, Dallas and Golden State have both had 4 unders and 1 over.

The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.

During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 94.4 points per game (7.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.2 points per game (5.4 below their season average).

The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 7.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 7.3 points.

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