Looking to win big? The Mavericks and Warriors face off at 8:30 ET on NBCS. The Warriors are hosting the game at Chase Center in San Francisco, CA. The odds for this Western conference game currently have the Warriors as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 240.5 points.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, December 30th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-110 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Tim Hardaway Jr. finishing with Tim Hardaway Jr. points, 4 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.4% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can the Mavericks Lock in a Road Win?

The Dallas Mavericks travel to take on the Warriors with an overall record of 18-14 this season. Dallas is currently in 6th place in the Western Conference and 1st in the Southwest Division.

On the road, the Mavericks have gone 10-7 for the season. The average scoring margin on the road is -0.5 points per contest. Coming into today’s game, Dallas has dropped two straight games.

If you look at the standings for teams favored and underdogs, the Mavericks have been the underdog in 12 games this season. Their average scoring margin as the underdog is -8.2 points per game, and they have gone 4-8 ATS in these games.

The over/under record in Dallas’ games is 20-12, and the over has been the result in three of their games with higher over/under lines than today’s line of 240.5. On average, their games have finished with 236.4 points per contest this season.

When looking at the numbers, the Mavericks offense is 7th in the league in scoring at 118.8 PPG. In 68.8% of their games, they have outscored their opponent’s defensive average for the season. Leading the way for the Mavericks is Luka Doncic, who comes in averaging 33.7 PPG, while Tim Hardaway Jr. is also averaging 18 PPG.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, the Mavericks is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 117.6 points per game (22nd). The Dallas defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 48.5% of their field goal attempts vs. Dallas.

Will the Warriors Find a Way to Win at Home?

With a record of 15-16, the Warriors will look to pick up a win today as 5-point favorites at home. When looking at the Western Conference standings, the Warriors are currently in 11th place and sit 5th in the Pacific Division.

Against the spread, Golden State is 14-16 this season. When playing at home, they have an average scoring margin of +0.2 points per game and have gone 9-7 straight up. The Warriors have only managed to cover the spread in 5 of their 15 home games.

So far, the Warriors have been the favorite in 18 of their 31 games and have gone 12-6 straight up in those games. Their average scoring differential as the favorite is +2.5 points per contest. The over/under record in their games is currently 16-14-1.

Today’s over/under line of 240.5 points is slightly higher than the average over/under line for the season of 229.7. Golden State’s games have finished with more than 240.5 points in just one out of 31 games this season.

In their most recent game, the Warriors put up 102 points against the Heat. The team shot 42% from the field and knocked down 8 three-pointers. Leading the team in scoring is Stephen Curry, who is averaging 27.4 PPG. Klay Thompson is also averaging 17.2 PPG.

On defense, the Warriors come into the game ranked 19th in the league in points allowed at 115.8 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 113.3 points per contest (12th). The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.1% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.