One of the most exciting duels of a ten-game NBA slate scheduled for Wednesday, February 15, will be played in Denver, and here you can read the best Mavericks vs. Nuggets betting pick and odds.

Dallas is looking to avoid the third loss in a row when they visit Denver at Ball Arena. The Nuggets are 6-point favorites on MyBookie Sportsbook, while the total is set at 228.5 points. These conference rivals will meet for the fourth time this season; the Mavericks lead the series 2-1.

Mavericks lost narrowly to the Timberwolves at home

The Dallas Mavericks (31-28, 22-35-2 ATS) returned home from a five-game road trip on which they recorded three wins, but couldn’t get an edge against the Minnesota Timberwolves in Dallas. After losing in overtime to the Sacramento Kings, Dallas suffered another tight defeat. This time around, the Minnesota Timberwolves were better 124-121, and even though the Mavs had a chance to force overtime, they didn’t even take a shot in the dying seconds and committed a turnover instead. Dallas was good from the field (51.2%), but Minnesota was even better (57.8%).

Kyrie Irving led the Mavericks with a game-high 36 points, team-high six assists, five rebounds, and two steals. Luka Doncic followed him with a double-double of 33 points and team-high 12 boards along with six dishes, while Christian Wood added 24 points and five rebounds.

PF Davis Bertans (calf) and PF/C Maxi Kleber (hamstring) are out indefinitely. SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (hamstring) is questionable to face Denver on Wednesday.

Nuggets secured a tight win in Miami

The Denver Nuggets (40-18, 32-26-0 ATS) are back home after playing the previous three games on the road, on which they got a pair of victories. Following a surprising loss to the Orlando Magic, the Nuggets beat the Charlotte Hornets and Miami Heat. Denver was excellent from the field (57.9%) and won the second quarter by 12 points, which helped them to win the game. Another segment in which the Nuggets were better was the assists (34-25).

Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with a double-double of game-high 27 points and game-high 12 rebounds along with a team-high eight assists. Michael Porter Jr. had 17 points and six boards, Bruce Brown scored 16, while Jeff Green, Christian Braun, Thomas Bryant, and Vlatko Cancar were also in double figures.

PG Jamal Murray (knee), PF Aaron Gordon (ribs), and PF Zeke Nnaji (shoulder) are questionable to feature against the Mavericks on Wednesday.

Trends:

Dallas:

  • 1-5 ATS in the last six games against the Northwest Division opponents

Denver:

  • 6-2 ATS in the last eight games overall
  • 4-0 ATS in the last four home games
  • 5-1 ATS in the last six games playing on one day of rest
  • 4-0 ATS in the last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record

Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets Pick

The Nuggets have the sixth-best offense in the NBA that averages 117.1 points per game, while Dallas’ offense is not even in the top 20 as the Mavs score 113.1 ppg. Dallas also has one of the slowest offenses in the league, and although that should change with Kyrie Irving now in town, I don’t think the visitors can outscore the Nuggets here. Denver suffered only four home defeats this season, one of which came against the Mavericks, so I think the Nuggets will be looking for a little revenge on Wednesday. Nikola Jokic vs. Luka Doncic is going to be a spectacle, and this time around, I am going with a two-time reigning MVP to lead his team to victory.

Pick: Take the Nuggets at -5.5 (-120)

The Total

The aforementioned H2H duel in Denver produced 231 points, and I expect to see a similar outcome in this one. Dallas is now stronger offensively and scored 121+ points in each of the last three games, and given the Nuggets are 13th defensively with 112.8 points allowed per contest, I am backing the visitors to score around 115 here. Over is 5-1 in the Mavericks’ last six overall; Over is 11-2 in Dallas’ previous 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, Over is 6-2-1 in the Nuggets’ last nine overall, while Over is 4-0 in Denver’s previous four home games.

Pick: Go Over 226.5 points (-133)