At 7:30 ET, the Mavericks (+323) will be in Boston to take on the Celtics (-419). The current over/under line is 236.5.

Currently, the Celtics (-9.5) are riding a 9-game win streak and are 1st in the East. The Mavericks are 7th in the West and have a record of 34-25.


The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +9.5

This game will be played at TD Garden at 7:30 ET on Friday, March 1st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 162-141 in favor of the Mavericks.
  • Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.2% and knocking down 18 threes.

Can the Mavericks Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Dallas is 34-25 this season and is currently 7th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 13-7 compared to 21-18 against Western Conference opponents.

As the underdog this season, the Mavericks are 9-16 straight up and 11-14 against the spread. Today, they are 9.5-point underdogs and have gone 2-1 ATS as the underdog.

The Mavericks’ O/U record for the season is 30-29, and their last two games have gone over the posted totals. On average, their games have finished with 236.1 points.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Raptors by a score of 136-125. The O/U line for that game was 241 points, and Dallas covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.

On the road, the Mavericks are 16-12 this season and have an ATS record of 18-10. Their average scoring differential on the road is -1.9 points per game.

Heading into their matchup with the Celtics, the Mavericks are 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118.9 points per game. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 120.5 points compared to 117.2 on the road.

So far this season, Dallas has outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks are 13th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in made threes per game at 15.1.

At present, the Mavericks’ defense is ranked 21st, allowing 117.6 points per game. Inside the arc, the Mavericks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.7% and 36.8% from three-point territory.

Do the Celtics Have What it Takes at Home?

The Celtics come into today’s game against the Mavericks as 9.5-point favorites. This season, Boston has been favored in 55 of their 58 games and has a record of 44-11 in those games.

Against the spread, the Celtics have covered in four straight games and have an overall ATS record of 27-28. At home, they are 15-14 ATS compared to 12-14 ATS on the road.

In their last game, the Celtics defeated the 76ers by a score of 117-99. The O/U line for that game was 231.5, and Boston covered the spread as 11.5-point favorites.

Boston’s O/U record for the season is 28-30, and the team has seen the under hit in their last two games. On average, Celtics games have finished with 230.9 points.

In the Eastern Conference, the Celtics are in 1st place with a record of 46-12. In non-conference games, they are 13-6 compared to 33-6 against the East.

At home, the Celtics have been one of the NBA’s top-scoring teams, averaging 122.4 points per game (6th). Overall, they are 5th in the league with 120.7 points per game. In terms of three-point shooting, Boston leads the NBA with 16.1 made threes per game.

So far this season, the Celtics have outscored the NBA scoring average in 72.4% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 18th in the league at 98.1 possessions per game. From a field goal percentage standpoint, Boston is 10th in the NBA at 48%.

When it comes to free throws, the Celtics are 15th in both attempts and makes. In terms of assists, they are 19th in the league with 26.2 per game. In terms of offensive rebounds, Boston is 15th in the NBA.

This season, the Celtics’ defense is the 7th ranked defense in the NBA at 7th PPG. So far, they have held opposing offenses below the NBA scoring average in 72.4% of their games. The Boston defense has allowed opponents to shoot 34.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 44.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Boston.