2018-19 Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

Last Updated: 2018-08-20

dallas mavericks season previewThe Dallas Mavericks failed to make it to the post-season for the second year in a row, finishing 13th in the Western Conference and fourth in the Southwest Division with a 24-58 record (15-26 at home, 9-32 on the road). Dirk Nowitzki will be around for another year, but the Mavs had to start with the rebuilding process, and acquiring Luka Doncic is just the beginning. The futures and props on the Dallas Mavericks are already available on BetDSI Sportsbook, so we’ll take a closer look to see what can the bettors expect from the Mavs during the 2018-19 NBA season.

Dallas Mavericks Futures Odds

Win Total Over/Under at 34.5: Over -105; Under -115
To Win the Southwest Division at +7000
To Win the Western Conference at +9300
To Win the NBA Championship at +25000
To Make NBA Playoffs: YES +400, NO -600 (Bet365 Sportsbook)

Dallas Mavericks Player Movement

Draft: Luka Doncic (No. 3 Pick), Jalen Brunson (No. 33 Pick), Ray Spalding (No. 56 Pick), Kostas Antetokounmpo (No. 60 Pick)
Added: Davin Harris (free agency, Denver Nuggets), DeAndre Jordan (free agency, Los Angeles Clippers), Ding Yanyuhang (free agency)

Lost: Seth Curry (signed with Portland Trail Blazers), Yogi Ferrell (signed with Sacramento Kings), Doug McDermott (signed with Indiana Pacers), Nerlens Noel (signed with Oklahoma City Thunder), Johnathan Motley (traded to Los Angeles Clippers), Kyle Collinsworth (waived)

Unrestricted Free Agent: None

The Mavericks selected Trae Young with the 5th overall pick at the 2018 NBA Draft, sending him immediately to the Atlanta Hawks in exchange for the 3rd overall pick Luka Doncic. The Mavs decided to start the rebuilding process by acquiring a 19-year old Slovenian, similar like they did with Dirk Nowitzki 20 years ago. Luka Doncic is considered as the hottest European prospect in last two decades, and this kid is already playing like a matured professional. He has already won it all in European basketball, including the 2018 Europa League Final Four MVP Award, leading his Real Madrid to the championship last year when he averaged 18.4 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 3.0 assists while shooting 46.2% from the field. Doncic is a great two-way player and a true leader on the floor who does all important things to win the game. Has to work on his strength and athleticism, but Doncic is a smart guy capable of learning things pretty fast, and while he’s a natural point guard, Luka can perform as a shooting guard or small forward as well.

The 21-year old playmaker Jalen Brunson is another exciting prospect selected with the 33rd overall pick by the Mavericks. Brunson played three years at Villanova, winning the National Championship two times while averaging 18.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 4.6 assists per game in his junior year. He’s a prolific scorer with a great jump shot, and he plays particularly well under the pressure. Brunson’s biggest problem is at the defensive end, as he’s not so versatile guy, but always work hard to help his teammates. Jalen is a competitive player, and that is exactly what the Mavs need.

The Dallas Mavericks signed DeAndre Jordan on a one-year deal, and the one-time All-Star should be a great addition for the Mavs’ frontcourt. DeAndre Jordan is a mobile big man with elite defensive skills which should be a perfect fit for the Mavericks. Jordan spent ten years with the Clippers averaging 9.4 points and 10.7 rebounds, and last season, DeAndre set his career high in rebounds (15.2) while nailing 12.0 points per game on 64.5% shooting from the field and 58.0% from the free-throw line which is another career high.

On the other side, the Mavs lost Doug McDermott and Yogi Ferrell, and both these guys had important roles last year, particularly the point guard Ferrell. Yogi played in all 82 games, recording 10.2 points and 2.5 assists per game while shooting 42.6% from the field.

Dallas Mavericks 2018-19 Roster

Dirk Nowitzki is already an NBA legend entering his 21st season in the league, all as a member of the Dallas Mavericks. Although he’s not getting any younger, Nowitzki still can nail some buckets, averaging 12.0 points and 5.7 rebounds per game in 77 appearances, while making 45.6% of his field goals. The 13-time All-Star is a huge factor in the Mavs’ locker room, and the young guns can learn a lot from the 40-year old German.

The versatile forward Harrison Barnes was the first scoring options for the Mavs last season, averaging 18.9 points on 44.5% shooting from the field and 35.7% from beyond the arc. The 7th overall pick from the 2012 NBA Draft set his career high in rebounds (6.1) and assists (2.0), showing his improvement on both ends of the floor. Barnes is a good teammate and a guy who always work hard to develop his game, so he will be a go-to-guy for the Mavericks in the 2018-19 season.

The dynamic point guard Dennis Smith Jr. had a tremendous rookie season in Dallas, recording 15.2 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game, earning the place in the 2017-18 NBA All-Rookie team. Dennis is a great athlete with an excellent leaping ability but will need to work a lot on his jump shooting and shot selection. Last year, he averaged only 39.5% of his field goals while hitting 31.3% from beyond the arc. Smith Jr. could be a future All-Star if he continues to develop steadily, while his game should improve playing alongside Luka Doncic, as Dennis will play more off the ball than he did last season.

Wesley Matthews will be a starter at shooting guard, entering his fourth season in Dallas. Matthews was solid last year, averaging 12.7 points, 3.1 rebounds, and 2.7 assists on 40.6% shooting from the field and 38.1% from downtown. He’s a great offensive force making the most of the damage with his jump shooting, but Matthews is also a reliable defender who had 1.2 steals per game last year. The veteran combo guard Devin Harris will be a nice backup option, as he returned to Dallas after spending the second half of the previous season in Denver. J.J. Barea will continue to contribute off the bench, and the 33-year old playmaker recorded some nice numbers last season, averaging 11.6 points and 6.3 assists in 23.2 minutes per game. Dwight Powell will be a frontcourt backup, entering his fifth season with the Dallas Mavericks, and last year, Powell had 8.5 points and 5.6 rebounds per game.

Players Under Contract:

Dennis Smith Jr. (PG), Luka Doncic (PG), J.J. Barea (PG), Jalen Brunson (PG)
Wesley Matthews (SG), Devin Harris (SG), Ryan Broekhoff (SG)
Harrison Barnes (SF), Dorian Finney-Smith (SF)
Dirk Nowitzki (PF), Dwight Powell (PF), Ray Spalding (PF)
DeAndre Jordan (C), Maximilian Cleber (C), Salah Mejri (C)

Total Win Prediction and Betting Picks

With DeAndre Jordan and Luka Doncic in the team, the Dallas Mavericks should easily surpass the record from the previous season, while the bookies set the line on the total win at 33.5 games. If they stay healthy, the Mavs should be somewhere around this mark, but it will be a difficult task to earn 34 wins in the stiff competition of the Western Conference. Luka Doncic will try to help his team and settle down in the area as soon as possible, while the odds are set at +400 on Luka to win the 2019 NBA Rookie of the Year Award. Interestingly, Doncic is the strongest fave to win this price, but as I’ve already mentioned, he’s playing like an experienced pro.

Likewise, the Mavericks will have a mountain to climb to make it to the NBA Playoffs, and 5Dimes Sportsbook considers them as +400 underdogs to earn the playoff berth. I think the Mavs will struggle to finish in the top eight, whilst they should battle with the Grizzlies to avoid the bottom of the Southwest Division.

The Pick: Over 34.5 (-105)

Prediction: 12th in the Western Conference

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