Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics ATS Prediction 12/6/17
Last Updated: 2017-12-06
The Dallas Mavericks (7-17), 8.5-point underdogs, will have their chance to beat the league’s top team when they clash against the Boston Celtics (21-4) at TD Garden. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 203.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southwest at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 6, 2017.
Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics Betting Odds
Both teams defeated their last opponent. The Celtics defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 111-100, while the Mavericks beat the Denver Nuggets 122-105.
Dallas’ 0.640 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Denver, who had a mark of 0.495. The Mavericks’ mark was above their season average of 0.501. The Celtics, meanwhile, held the Bucks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 7.5 (below their season average of 17.8) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.615 (above their season average of 0.515). Boston rallied around Kyrie Irving, who finished with 32 points. Harrison Barnes had a good game for Dallas, putting up 22 points and 10 rebounds.
Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Boston ranks 25th in possessions per game (98.0) and Dallas is 22nd (98.6). Furthermore, the 26th-ranked offense of the Mavericks (offensive efficiency of 102.2) will face a tough challenge against the top-ranked defense of the Celtics (defensive efficiency of 99.4).
It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring the Mavericks in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Dallas comes into the contest with records of 7-17 straight up (SU) and 10-14 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Dallas, games including the Celtics have gone over the total 52.0 percent of the time. Additionally, Boston is 21-4 SU and 19-5-1 ATS.
Al Horford has taken his game to another level recently for Boston, averaging 14.4 points, 7.0 assists, 5.4 rebounds and 2.0 blocks over the last five games.
In their first matchup this year, Irving led the Celtics to a 110-102 victory. He scored a game-high 47 points. Boston covered as a 6.5-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 212 points, which was over the projected point total of 200.5. Boston made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, making 21 of them (80.8 percent). Dallas, meanwhile, was 17-20 (85.0 percent).
Dallas Mavericks vs. Boston Celtics Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
The Celtics rank 19th in second chance points per game (11.9) while the Mavericks rank 25th (10.3).
Boston ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (9.0) while Dallas ranks 28th (14.1).
The Mavericks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.3) while the Celtics rank 15th (43.2).
Boston ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while Dallas ranks 21st in three pointers allowed per game (30.1).
Boston ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.2) while Dallas ranks ninth (15.7).
The Celtics rank first in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Mavericks rank 20th (8.4).
The Celtics rank fifth in assists allowed per game (20.9) while the Mavericks rank 13th (22.5).
Boston ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.4) while Dallas ranks 25th (3.6).
Boston averages 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in the league. Dallas ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
When holding opponents under 100 points, Dallas is 6-4 and Boston is 15-0.
The Celtics are 16-2 when they reach 100 points, while the Mavericks are 5-7.
Dallas is 4-5 ATS on the road, while Boston is 9-3-1 ATS at home.
The total has gone under in 5 of the Mavericks’ 9 road games, while 7 of the Celtics’ 13 home games have gone over.
The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Celtics are 3-2.
In their last five games, Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Boston has 4 overs and 1 under.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 107.8 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 98.4 points per game (5.4 below their season average).
The Celtics’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.4, down from 7.2 for the season.