Last Updated: 2017-12-06
After failing to reach the 10-point mark in three consecutive losses, the Cowboys appeared to be dead in the water but their Week 13 victory over Washington has given them a glimmering of hope. At 6-6, they certainly won’t win the NFC East but they are technically still within striking distance of a wild-card spot. A win on Sunday will keep their hopes alive for at least another week but a loss to the Giants would be crippling as well as demoralizing. 4 of their last 5 games have resulted in Unders but they have covered the spread just once in their last 4.
The New York Giants didn’t wait for Ben McAdoo to do any more damage to the 2-10 GMen. They relieved him of his duties along with general manager Jerry Reese. These moves might come a little late but at least those distractions are in the rearview mirror. Now they can once again focus on playing football although there is still a bit of a sideshow with the newly-opened vacancies.
Cowboys at Giants
Spread: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-110), New York Giants +4.5 (-110) at 5Dimes Sportsbook
Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys -210, New York Giants +175
Total: Over 41.5 (-110), Under 41.5 (-110)
It’s crunch time for Big D. They should have a bit of momentum after destroying the Redskins last week but there is no way that they can take this game for granted. The Cowboys ran the ball a ton against Washington in Week 13. Alfred Morris had a whale of a game racking up 127 yards and a touchdown on 27 carries. Rod Smith pitched in with 27 yards and a score on 10 carries. In all, the Cowboys ran the ball 42 times for 182 yards. Now they face a Giants rushing defense that gives up an average of 130.7 yards per game which is worst in the league although the 4.3 yards per carry isn’t all that bad. We could see a lot of the same this week.
Dak Prescott threw the ball 22 times against the Skins and connected on just 11 of those passes for an unimpressive 102 yards although he threw a pair of TDs. He hit Dez Bryant 5 times on 7 throws including one of the touchdowns while Jason Witten’s lone catch on 5 targets resulted in a touchdown. The Giants have given up the third-most passing yards per game at a rate of 7.7 yards per completion. In other words, the Giants can be beaten on the ground and through the air. There’s not much reason to believe that the Cowboys will stray from the ground and pound this week unless things take a very unexpected turn. They are well aware that the Giants will be adjusting their game without McAdoo on the sidelines.
New York Giants
The best that these guys can hope for is a strong finish and they will be motivated to hand Dallas a devastating loss. However, motivation alone won’t win games. New York’s pass attack has been pretty feeble although we can safely say that injuries have impacted it. They are just gaining 6.1 yards per completion. Dallas hasn’t been lights out against the pass but they are holding opponents to a mediocre 7.3 yards per pass. The Giants also happen to have one of the worst running games in the league. They average 89.1 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per carry. Dallas’ rush defense is marginally below average yielding 107.8 yards per game and 4.3 yards per carry. They did a pretty good job against a limited Redskin rush last week but they are definitely vulnerable. The Giants will need to do better than the 65 rushing yards on 24 carries that the put up last week in Oakland.
It’s really difficult to say what kind of a game plan that the Giants will employ on either side of the ball but it’s safe to say that, given all that’s gone on in the past few weeks, Eli will be given his opportunity to lead this team. Not only that but his teammates will rise to the occasion and perform well.
Cowboys at Giants Betting Lines
The Cowboys opened up as a -238 favorite on the moneyline. The line is currently -210 at most books indicating early action on the underdogs. We’ve also seen the same trend in the spread which opened at Dallas -6. Early dog money has brought the number down -4.5 at most sportsbooks although you can get it at -4 at a few books and -5 at a few others. As for the total? Well, it has risen by half a point to 41.5 after opening at 41. You can add or shave a half point at a few books but that number should hold. The Giants have covered in 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams. That one ATS loss came earlier this year when the GMen lost 19-3 in Dallas as 6-point dogs. New York has scored 21 or more just once in their past 6 while in the same span they have had a few defensive duds. That will happen when a team is in turmoil and the coach has lost the locker room.
My Pick: New York Giants +4.5 (-110)
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Total: Over 41.5 (-110)