Last Updated: 2019-04-07
It’s time for the final college basketball game of the season and there’s something to be said for defense, as well as luck, when Virginia and Texas Tech battle it out for the NCAA championship. The Cavaliers are favored by 1.5 points for the game and the total is 118, although there are a few 117.5’s out there.
For the first half, which is all we’re concerned with here, the Cavaliers are -.5 (-105) and the Red Raiders are +.5 (-115) at 5Dimes, as well as Bovada, and the total is 54 at both shops.
The first-half line probably isn’t that surprising, as the Cavaliers have started out slowly throughout the tournament, finding themselves behind in three of the five tournament games they’ve played so far, including to Gardner-Webb to begin the tournament. Texas Tech, meanwhile, has trailed at the half just once in the tournament, so get the nod for playing a little better the last five games, but that’s about it, as the Cavaliers were better during the season.
The Red Raiders have beaten better teams as a whole in the tournament, although that’s a large part of getting a No. 1 seed, as the Cavaliers did, so you can’t fault Virginia there.
As usual, I ran both the overall and away numbers for the game and both have the Cavaliers leading, with the overall numbers having it 28-26 and the away numbers making it 28-25, so nothing really to go on as far as the total goes, with a slight lean to Virginia as far as the side goes.
On paper anyway, it’s the same as we’ve seen with the Red Raiders all through the tournament, where Texas Tech gets a slight defensive edge and the opposition is better offensively. That was the case with Gonzaga and Michigan State and is once again here.
The Cavaliers typically have the defensive edge against whoever they play, so this will be different for them, although Kansas State is the lone team the Raiders have played who are close to Virginia in defense and the teams split during the regular season, with each team winning at home and leading by a fair margin at halftime.
We can argue whether Virginia deserves to be here, but they are, which is really all that matters, so will just follow the numbers here and have a small play on the Cavaliers, but definitely not a normal-sized wager. Lines are at their toughest right now and even though it’s the final college game of the season, there is plenty of NBA left and the start of the WNBA next month.
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