Daily Expert College Basketball ATS Picks & Betting Predictions 1/18/2020

Date | AuthorAllen Moody

Last Updated: 2020-01-18

Still spinning the wheels a little bit with these plays, entering today with a 17-13 record after dropping our last play. I’ll be back later on with our standard look at the late games, but ran some numbers for all of the early games today, meaning those scheduled to start before 3 p.m. EST, so I’ll share those with you – for those who want to get an early start on the day’s action.

68 Ohio State
68 Penn State

77 Seton Hall
64 St Johns

73 Florida State
68 Miami Fla

62 N Carolina U
66 Pittsburgh

63 Syracuse
68 Virginia Tech

61 Baylor
58 Oklahoma State

68 Illinois Chi.
75 Indiana Purdue

62 Connecticut
77 Villanova

62 LaSalle
79 Rhode Island

75 Detroit
91 Wisc Green Bay

59 S Carolina U
58 Texas A&M

82 Oral Roberts
67 IUPU Fort Wayne

66 Butler
59 DePaul

65 Miami Ohio
75 Ball State

81 Citadel
80 VMI

86 CS Bakersfield
65 Chicago State

71 Auburn
75 Florida U

59 Dartmouth
71 Harvard

69 Clemson
71 N Carolina St

73 St Josephs
87 Penn

80 Buffalo
96 Cent. Michigan

59 Ohio U
69 East. Michigan

73 Missouri State
68 Evansville

70 Arkansas State
81 Coastal Caro.

77 Marquette
78 Georgetown

67 West Virginia
53 Kansas State

63 TCU
71 Oklahoma U

74 Kansas U
54 Texas U

60 Purdue
63 Maryland U

74 William & Mary
66 Drexel

68 James Madison
81 Towson State

65 Tulsa
68 Tulane

68 Toledo
74 Akron

58 St Bonaventure
66 Va Commonwealth

68 Colorado U
73 Arizona U

73 Richmond
62 George Mason

END OF JAN. 18 PICKS

Won both college sides last night, but did drop the NBA game after a 73-point fourth quarter and split the two college football plays for a 3-2 night overall. Adjusting for the current odds, as the site was down for a while this morning and some of the numbers have changed since I wrote this.

UCF at Tulane: Tulane is now favored by 1.5 points and I them taking a 69-66 victory.

Akron at Northern Illinois: Akron moved from -3 to -2.5 even though the Zips are getting more than three-quarters of the early wagers in this one. I have Akron winning by a 68-63 score.

VCU at Dayton: The Flyers opened 8.5 and Dayton is now favored by 8 after getting a slight majority of the wagers. I have the Flyers winning this one by a 74-63 final.

Texas Tech at Kansas State: Texas Tech opened as 3.5-point favorites and the line is holding steady even though the Red Raiders are getting more than 70% of the wagers. I have this one even and will take a shot on the home underdog in this one.

Iowa at Northwestern: Iowa from -5 to 5.5 after getting a good majority of the wagers here. I have Iowa winning 75-65.

DePaul at Villanova: Villanova moved from -10.5 to -9.5 in a game that has seen pretty good two-way action. I have the Wildcats winning 77-65.

TCU at West Virginia: West Virginia has gone from -8.5 to -7.5 on pretty good two-way action. TCU only has three away games to their credit, so their numbers may be a little slanted as I have West Virginia winning easily, 69-53.

Kansas at Oklahoma: Kansas opened 6.5 and the line is still there despite Kansas getting more than 75% of the wagers. I have Kansas winning 78-63.

Virginia Tech at Wake Forest: Virginia Tech is favored by 3 and I have Wake Forest winning by a 69-67 final, although the home team could be without Chaundee Brown, who is averaging more than 13 points and 6.5 rebounds per game.

Maryland at Wisconsin: The Badgers are favored by 2.5 and I have them winning this one by a 61-60 final.

Missouri at Miss State: Mississippi State has moved from 3.5 to 2.5 even though they’re getting the bulk of the wagers. I have State winning 63-61.

Wyoming at Nevada: Nevada has moved from -15.5 to -14.5 with Wyoming getting 57% of the wagers. I have Nevada winning 75-57.

San Diego State at Fresno State: San Diego State is favored by 7.5 and I have them winning 67-60.

END OF JAN. 14 PICKS

Pretty small slate of college basketball for Monday, as most schools have the night off due to the college football championship game. We won’t have any halftime plays today, so this will be it for college basketball. When giving the record yesterday I inadvertently gave the record for first-half sides (12-14) instead of full-game sides, which were 14-12 before Miami got the cover for us, but not before making us sweat it out towards the end. So, we’re 15-12 with full-game sides and 13-14 with our first-half sides. First-half totals are 22-15-2 after yesterday, so our combined college basketball record is 50-41-2 (54.9%), which is just a shade under where I’d like to be.

Portland State at Montana: The Grizzlies opened -6 and the line has climbed to 6.5 even though the Vikings are getting a slight majority of the early wagers. I have Montana winning 75-69.

Jackson State at Southern: Southern is favored by 1.5 and the line has stayed there with Jackson State getting roughly two-thirds of the early wagers. I have Southern winning 75-66 and will go ahead and go against the grain here and take Southern.

Boston U at Loyola Maryland: The Terriers are favored by 3.5 and I have them winning by a 72-70 score.

North Carolina A & T at Delaware State: North Carolina A & T is favored by 6 and I have them winning 82-69, but no interest laying that many points with a team that is 2-10 on the road.

Morgan State at Bethune Cookman: Bethune Cookman is favored by 5 and I have them winning 81-70. These teams have a tendency of playing close games, with two of the last three decided by a single point.

South Carolina State at Howard: South Carolina State is favored by 5 and I have them winning 80-73.

NC Central at Maryland Eastern Shore: NCC is favored by 6.5 and I have them winning 67-54. NC Central is winless on the road this season, going 0-11, so in no rush to lay the points with them.

Coppin State at Florida A & M: Florida A & M is favored by 5 and I have the Rattlers winning 74-66.

Mississippi Valley State at Alabama A & M: Alabama A & M is favored by 13 and I have them winning 87-70.

Grambling at Alcorn State: Grambling is favored by 3 and I have Alcorn State winning 84-73, so will take the home dog here. This one will likely be decided by Alcorn State’s 3-point shooting, as they shoot 38.5% for the season.

Pine Bluff at Alabama State: Alabama State is favored by 6.5 and I have them winning 62-57.

END OF JAN. 13 PICKS

Have dropped a few in a row here, including an ugly one last night, as St. Mary’s completely wilted in the final 3:21, getting outscored 12-4. Still need to get it going with these plays, which are just 12-14 on the season. Not the biggest schedule around but there are some pretty decent games, so overall not a bad slate.

Michigan State at Purdue: Michigan State is favored by 4 and I have the Spartans winning this one 68-64.

Wichita State at Connecticut: The Shockers are favored by 2 and I have Wichita State winning this one 67-65.

Michigan at Minnesota: The Gophers are favored by 1.5 and I have Minnesota pulling out a 73-71 win in what should be a pretty decent game.

Canisius at St. Peter’s: St. Peters is favored by 2.5 and I have this one 65-65.

Niagara at Iona: Iona is favored by 8.5, which seeps pretty steep for a team that is 3-7 straight-up and 1-7 ATS, but Niagara is horrid on the road, where they are outscored by 14.9 points. The overall numbers have Iona winning just 73-70, but no interest in Niagara.

Rider at Marist: Rider is favored by by 8.5 and I them taking a 69-57 victory.

Northern Kentucky at IUPUI: Northern Kentucky is favored by 7 in this one and I have them winning 75-66.

Siena at Manhattan: Siena is favored by 2 and this is another game where the numbers spit out a 65-65 projection.

Monmouth at Quinnipac: Quinnipac is favored by 2.5 and I have Monmouth winning this one 69-68.

Memphis at South Florida: Memphis is favored by 4 in this one and I have the Tigers coming away with a 67-60 victory.

Wright State at Illinois-Chicago: Wright State is favored by 6 and I have them winning this one by a final score of 78-70.

Utah at Colorado: Colorado is favored by 7.5 and I have them winning this one 72-67. On the surface it seems the line is a bit steep, which is why it’s come down from the opening number of Buffs -9.5.

Pittsburgh at Miami: The Hurricanes are favored by 3 and I have them winning this one 69-63, so am going to take Miami in this one. The Panthers are coming off a huge win at North Carolina and it can be hard to get up for your next game.

Arizona at Oregon State: Arizona is favored by 4 and the overall numbers have the Wildcats winning 82-68, but Arizona’s numbers take a huge hit on the road and I’ll just stay clear of this one.

END OF JAN. 12 PICKS

We didn’t have any full-game college plays yesterday, but will go ahead and jump there now.

Santa Clara at St. Mary’s: St. Mary’s opened as 13-point favorites and the line is still there with St. Mary’s getting a slight majority of the early wagers. Santa Clara is one of the more overrated teams in the country, having played the softest schedule of any Division I team per Pomeroy. I have St. Mary’s winning this one by 23 and will take the home favorite in this one. Was going to play St. Mary’s in the first-half but they could start off a bit slow, with a bit of a letdown following the BYU game on Thursday.

Kansas State at Texas: Texas has moved from -4.5 to -5 with more than 60% of the wagers and I have the Longhorns winning four.

Portland State at Montana State: Montana State has moved from -1 to -2 even though they are getting one-third of the wagers. I have MSU winning by a pair.

Oklahoma at Iowa State: Iowa State has moved all the way from -2 to -3.5 after getting three-quarters of the wagers and I have the Cyclones winning by 2. The Sooners are 5-3 on the road this season, while Iowa State is 6-3 at home, but the Cyclones have lost their last two at home. The loss to Kansas is forgivable, but not the loss to Florida A & M, who was a 25-point underdog.

Mississippi State at LSU: LSU opened as 8-point favorites and the line is still there even though Mississippi State has received close to 60% of the Wagers. I have LSU winning by 10.

Washington at California: The Huskies have moved from -7 to -6 with the majority of the wagers. I have Washington winning this one by 7, so nothing really happening here.

Fullerton at Riverside: Riverside has moved from -7 to -6 and I have the home team winning by 7 in a fairly low scoring contest.

North Dakota at Oral Roberts: Oral Roberts opened as 8.5-point favorites and the number has dropped to 8 with North Dakota getting the majority of the wagers. I have ORU winning by 19, but they padded their stats against some extremely weak foes.

Wake Forest at Duke: Duke opened -18 and the line is now 19.5 even though Wake is getting a large majority of the early wagers. I have the Blue Devils winning by 22.

END OF JAN. 11 PICKS

Still waiting for first-half totals on the later college basketball games, which were the numbers I ran, so we’ll jump to full-games sides and see if the totals get posted.

Arizona at Oregon: The Ducks opened -3 and the number moved to 3.5 or 4 depending on your sportsbook with Oregon getting 80% of the early wagers. I have Oregon winning by 3.

Washington at Stanford: The Cardinal opened 2.5 and the line is still there with the home team getting a small majority of wagers. I have Stanford winning by 1.

Murray State at Jacksonville State: Murray State has moved from -4 to -5 with pretty mixed betting and I have Jacksonville winning by 5.

Southern Miss at UTEP: UTEP opened 11.5 and the line is now 10, while I have the Miners winning this one by 6.

Northern Colorado at Weber State: Northern Colorado has moved from -4 to -3 on pretty mixed betting. I have them winning by a point.

Minnesota at Michigan State: Michigan State has climbed from -11 to -12.5 in this one and I have them winning by 11.

Chicago State at New Mexico State: New Mexico State is favored by 31, which is where the game opened and I have them winning by 37.

Montana at EWU: The Eagles are favored by 6 and I have Eastern winning this one by 11.

Montana State at Idaho: Montana State opened -2.5 and the line is still there with Idaho getting a slight majority of bets. I have MSU winning by 6.

Santa Clara at San Francisco: San Francisco has moved from 6 to 6.5 despite getting just one-third of the wagers. Huge disparity in schedule strength is the reason and I have SF winning by 18.

Hawaii at Fullerton: Hawaii opened -3 and the line is still there with Hawaii getting close to 70% of the wagers. I have Fullerton winning by 4 and will take the home dog here.

Gonzaga at San Diego: The Zags opened 15.5 and are still there despite the road team getting a huge majority of the wagers. I have Gonzaga winning by 10.

Northern Arizona at Sacramento State: Sacramento State is favored by 5.5 and I have them winning by 6.

Washington State at Cal: The Bears are favored by 1 after the game opened even and WSU is getting the majority of the wagers.

Arizona State at Oregon State: The Beavers have moved from -4 to -5 and I have this one a one-point game in favor of ASU.

BYU at St. Marys: St. Mary’s has dropped from -4 to -3 even though they are getting the majority of wagers. I have BYU winning by 3.

END OF JAN. 9 PICKS

We pulled one out at the end, as Xavier got the half-point cover for us on Sunday, as we moved to 14-9 with our full-game sides, although first-half sides are still struggling a bit, a case of trying to use different games for the two plays and have picked the wrong one for the first half compared to the full game several times.

Lafayette at Appalachian State: Appalachian State opened as 9.5-point favorites and the line is now down to 8.5 with 64% of the wagers coming in on Lafayette. I have Appalachian State winning this one by 17.

Monroe at Coastal Carolina: Coastal Carolina opened as 7.5-point favorites and the line is down to 7 with Monroe getting a little more than 50% of the wagers in the game. I have coastal Carolina winning by 12.

Georgia Southern at Little Rock: Little Rock is favored by 2.5 in this one after opening -2 and getting two-thirds of the wagers. I have Georgia Southern winning by 1.

South Alabama at Arlington: Arlington opened 7.5 and the line is now down to 6.5 with South Alabama getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have Arlington winning this one by 18 due to strength of schedule differences.

Troy at Texas State: Texas State opened -11.5 and the line is down to 10.5 after Troy received 70% of the wagers. I have Texas State winning this one by 19 and will go ahead and take the home favorite in this one.

Georgia State at Arkansas State: Georgia State is favored by 3.5 after opening as 4.5-point favorites and seeing Arkansas State get more than 70% of the wagers. I have Georgia State winning by 14.

West Virginia at Oklahoma State: West Virginia opened -2 and the line is down to 1 even with the Mountaineers getting more than two-thirds of the early wagers. I have West Virginia winning by one.

END OF JAN. 6 PICKS

Was way off the mark with Penn on Saturday in a game that really caught me off guard, as the Quakers had better numbers against better competition and were at home and then came out and rolled over. The loss knocked us down to 14-9 on the season, which is much better than our first-half sides, which have been a struggle. Win or lose, will always say how we’re doing even if it is ugly at times.

Mass at St. Louis: St. Louis opened 10.5 and the line has dropped to 10 with the road team getting 70% of the early wagers. I have St. Louis winning by 9.

St. Bonnies at George Washington: St. Bonnies opened 3.5 and the line is holding steady with the favorite getting 57% of the wagers. My numbers have the Bonnies winning by 10.

St. Johns at Xavier: Xavier opened 7.5 and the line is still there with St. Johns getting more than 60% of the early wagers. This could be one of those times where the lack of line movement is just as important as a line move in that this one number should have dropped slightly, as the number of wagers on this game are going to put some of the smaller school games to shame. I have Xavier winning by 13 due to their strength of schedule advantage and will take the home favorite in this one.

Denver at South Dakota: South Dakota opened 12.5 and the number is still there with Denver getting more than 70% of the early wagers. I have the home team winning by 15.

Fort Wayne at North Dakota: North Dakota opened -4.5 and this one has stayed put with Fort Wayne getting close to 60% of the wagers. I have North Dakota winning by 12.

Oregon State at Colorado: The Buffaloes opened -9 and the line has dropped down to 7.5 although Colorado is getting a slight majority of the wagers here. I have Colorado winning by 15 but will stay clear due to the line move and the fact that Colorado could have a bit of a hangover after knocking off the Ducks.

Northwestern at Minnesota: Another game where I’ll respect the line, as Minnesota moved from -10 to 9.5 despite getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have the Gophers winning by 20.

Purdue at Illinois: The Illini have moved from -1 to -2.5 after getting 75% of the wagers and I have Purdue winning by one in what should be a decent game.

USC at Washington: The Huskies moved from -4.5 to -5, which is what I have this one at.

END OF JAN. 5 PICKS

The sportsbooks are slow to post first-half totals, so we’ll jump to our full-game sides and a bit of a surprise that these are 9-6 on the season and our first-half sides are just 8-11, as I use the two in tandem a bit, but we’ve lost a couple of close ones. The first-half totals are carrying us so far with a 14-8 record.

Greensboro at Wofford: This one is even and I have Greensboro winning by a point.

Towson at Wilmington: Towson is favored by 5 on the road and I have Wilington coming away with a one-point victory.

UCLA at WSU: The Bruins are now favored by and I have them beating Washington State by 6.

Texas A & M at Arkansas: The Razorbacks are favored by 14 and I have them winning by 24.

UTSA at Florida International: FIU is favored by 4.5 and I have them winning this one by one.

San Jose State at Fresno State: The Bulldogs are favored by 12 and I have Fresno winning by 16.

Valparaiso at Evansville: The Purple Aces are favored by 1.5 at home and I have Valpo winning this one by 4.

UAB at Old Dominion: Old Dom is favored by 5 and I have them winning this one by 4.

Princeton at Penn: Penn is favored by 7.5 and I have them winning by 25, so will go ahead and take the Quakers -7.5 in this one.

Bradley at Northern Iowa: Northern Iowa is favored by 7.5 and I have them winning by 14.

Missouri State at Loyola-Chicago: Loyola is favored by 5.5 and I have them winning by 7.

Oral Roberts at Omaha: Omaha is favored by 1.5 and I have Oral Roberts rolling in this one, but a little hesitant to take a 1-7 road team against a 7-0 home team in this one.

SEMO at Murray State: Murray is favored by 15 and I have them winning by 14.

Troy at Lafayette: Lafayette is favored by 4 and I have them winning by a point.

Texas at Baylor: Baylor is favored by 9 and I have them winning by 11.

Utah Valley at UMKC: Kansas City is favored by 3 and I have them winning this one by 15.

Montana at Northern Colorado: Northern Colrado is favored by 7 in this one and I have them winning by 12.

SMU at Vanderbilt: SMU is favored by 2 and I have Vandy winning by 1.

ASU at Arizona: Arizona is favored by 11 and I have them winning by 13.

Pepperdine at Gonzaga: The Zags are favored by 20.5 and I have them winning by 27.

END JAN. 4 PICKS

We’ll wrap up our hoops with our full-game side play. Getting late so we’ll whiz right through these for the most part.

Toledo at Ball State: Ball State is favored by two and I have them winning this one by four points.

Wright State at Oakland: Wright State is favored by 3.5 and I have Oakland coming away with a five-point victory in this one.

Illinois-Chicago at Green Bay: Green Bay is favored by 6 and I have them winning this one by more than 20 points due to their strength of schedule and will take Green Bay in this one.

St. Peter’s at Iona: Iona is favored by 9 and I have them winning by 5.

Quinnipac at Marist: Quinnipac is favored by 6 and that’s the same margin that I have on this one.

Monmouth at Siena: Siena is favored by 7 and I have them winning this one by nine points.

Manhattan at Canisius: Canisius is favored by 5.5 and I have them winning by 12.

Northern Kentucky at Detroit: Northern Kentucky is favored by 5.5 and I have them coming away with a nine-point victory on the road.

Fairfield at Niagara: Fairfield is favored by 2.5 and I have this one even.

Wisconsin at Ohio State: The Buckeyes opened -10 and the line is all the way down to Buckeyes -7.5 with the away team getting 57% of the wagers. I have the Buckeyes winning this one by 11.

Delaware at Drexel: Delaware is favored by 2 points and I have them coming away with a one-point victory.

UCF at Houston: Houston is favored by 10 and I have them winning this one by 19.

Rutgers at Nebraska: Rutgers is favored by 4 and I have them winning by 10, but wouldn’t want to touch the Scarlet Knights in this one due to their home and away splits.

IUPUI at Milwaukee: Milwaukee is favored by 9 and I have them winning this one by 13.

Kent State at Bowling Green: Bowling Green is favored by 1.5 and I have this one even.

Georgetown at Seton Hall: Seton Hall is favored by 6 and I have them winning this one by 13.

Temple at Tulsa: Temple is favored by 2.5 and I have them winning this one by 14.

END OF JAN. 3 PICKS

Lots of games on the college schedule and we’ll look at all of the 7 p.m. starts, along with the two big games in the Pac-12 Conference, as we dropped to 7-6 on our full-game sides after a lackluster effort by Boise, who only won by 11 as 16.5-point favorites in a game that was a little closer than the final. With the number of games, not much time for analysis, so we’ll wiz right through them.

St. Joes at Richmond: Richmond opened -14 and the line has moved to 13 with St. Joes getting a little more than two-thirds of the early wagers. I have the Spiders winning by 13.

Fordham at VCU: The Rams opened -20 and the line has dropped to 19.5 with Fordham getting three-quarters of the early wagers. I have VCU winning by 25.

St. Louis at Duquesne: Duquesne opened -3 and the line is still there with Duquesne getting 60% of the wagers. I have them winning by two.

UTSA at FAU: Florida Atlantic opened -4 and the line is now 3.5 with FAU getting 58% of the early wagers. I have UTSA winning by a pair.

Towson State at Charleston: Charleston opened 6.5 and the line is still there with Towson getting 60% of the early wagers in the game. I have Charleston winning by 7.

Elon at Northeastern: Northeastern opened -15 and is holding steady even through Elon is getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have Northeastern winning by 7.

Minnesota at Purdue: Purdue has moved from -8 to -7.5 with Minnesota getting more than two-thirds of the wagers. I have Purdue winning by 5.

Rhode Island at Brown: Rhode Island opened 8.5 and the line dropped to 8 with URI getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have Rhode Island winning by 15.

Georgia State at Appalachian State: Appalachian State has moved from -2.5 to -2 with Georgia State getting a slight majority of the wagers. I have Georgia State winning by one.

UAB at Charlotte: Charlotte opened 3 and is now favored by 2.5 with UAB getting more than 60% of the early wagers. I have Charlotte winning by 5.

Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina: Coastal Carolina opened -1 and is now favored by 1.5 after getting more than 70% of the early wagers. I have this one even.

Rice at Marshall: The Thundering Herd opened 6.5 and moved to -8 with less than 40% of the wagers. I have Marshall winning by 10.

North Texas at Western Kentucky: Western Kentucky opened -4.5 and the line is now 3.5 after North Texas received more than two-thirds of the early bets. I have North Texas by 5.

William & Mary at Hofstra: Hofstra opened -6.5 and is now 7 on pretty even betting. I have Hofstra by 4.

Oregon State at Utah: The Utes opened -1.5 and are now favored by 2 after getting 60% of the wagers. I have Utah winning by 12, so will take Utah in this one.

Oregon at Colorado: The Buffs opened -1.5 and the Ducks are now 1.5 after getting 70% of the wagers. I have Oregon winning by 3.

END OF JAN. 2 PICKS

Not a whole lot happening on the college basketball scene for Wednesday, as we have just 14 games on the schedule and we’ll skip the ones starting at 3 p.m. or earlier, leaving us with nine games to look at for New Year’s Day. We fell to 7-5 on the season last time out when North Dakota wilted in the final two minutes.

Wofford at East Tennessee State: East Tennessee opened as 9-point favorites and is now favored by 8.5 with the betting split right down the middle. Wofford did get the upset at North Carolina, but other than that have been pretty average on the road this season. East Tennessee State hasn’t played the greatest schedule, but a definite revenge spot after they lost all three games last year.

USF at SMU: Decent game here, as the Mustangs opened -6 and are now 6.5 after getting close to three-quarters of the wagers. I have SMU winning by two.

Connecticut at Cincinnati: The Bearcats opened as 3.5-point favorites and we’ve seen a little bit of a reverse move, with the line dropping down to three even though Cincinnati is getting close to 65% of the early wagers. I have the Bearcats winning by 7 but a little hesitant given the line move and the fact that it’s a big revenge game for the Huskies, who lost both games last year by two and by four points.

Mercer at Greensboro: Big reverse move here, as Greensboro opened -15 and the line is now 13.5 even though the home team is getting 58% of the early wagers. I have Greensboro easily winning by 25 but will respect the line move in this one and just stay away.

Wyoming at Boise State: Boise opened 17 and is now favored by 16 despite getting 70% of the wagers. I have Boise winning this one by 26 and will go ahead and take the favorite here, as Wyoming is averaging less than 50 points a game on the road.

Marquette at Creighton: Decent game here, where Creighton opened -3 and is still there with pretty good two-way action. I have Creighton winning by 1.

Colorado State at Nevada: Nevada opened as 7-point favorites and the line dropped to 5.5 with the road team getting a slight majority of the wagers, so a bigger move than we should have seen. I have Nevada winning by 6.

New Mexico at San Jose State: New Mexico opened -10 and the line is still there with decent two-way action. I have the Lobos winning by 4.

Utah State at UNLV: Utah State opened as 7-point favorites and the line is still there with State getting 60% of the wagers. I have them rolling by 17, but they have a huge drop-off on the road.

END JAN. 1 PICKS

We moved to 7-4 with our full-game side plays and will hurry and run the list for today, beginning with the 4 p.m. games.

Appalachian State at NC State: NC State opened as 14-point favorites and the line is down to 13.5 in a game I have State winning by 6.

Tenn Tech at Ole Miss: Ole Miss moved from 22 to 21.5 in this one and I have them winning by 11, but as we’ve mentioned, Tennessee Tech not close to the same team on the road.

UC Davis at New Mexico: New Mexico is favored by 13.5 and I have them winning by 12, so nothing happening in this one.

Bakersfield at Texas Tech: Texas Tech opened -20.5 and now the line is Red Raiders -20 with pretty decent two-way action on this one. I have Texas Tech winning by 11.

Rhode Island at Middle Tenn: Rhode Island opened -9 and the line is all the way down to Rams -5.5 even though URI has received more than 60% of the wagers in the game. I have this one even and am tempted to take the home dog, although we’ve lost a fair amount of value with the big line move.

FAU at USF: The Bulls are favored by 8.5 and I have them winning this one by 8.

South Dakota at Western Illinois: South Dakota is favored by 5.5 and I have this one even.

ND State at Denver: ND State has moved from 8 to 8.5 even though they’re getting close to a third of the wagers in the game. I have them winning by 9.

Harvard at California: Harvard is favored by 3.5 after opening as 3-point favorites and getting 35% of the wagers. I have Harvard winning by 3.

UCSB at Lafayette: Santa Barbara is favored by 2.5 points and I have this one even.

Western Michigan at Michigan State: The Spartans opened as 27-point favorites and the line is still there with Western Michigan getting a small majority of the wagers. I have State winning by 34.

Tulsa at Kansas State: Kansas State is favored by 7.5 in this one and I have them winning by 13.

North Dakota at Oregon State: The Beavers opened as 14-point favorites and the line is now 13.5 with OSU getting three-quarters of the wagers. I have this one a one-point game and even factoring in home and away stats I’d have this a 10-point game, so will go ahead and take North Dakota plus the points.

Richmond at Alabama: Alabama is favored by 6.5 and I have them winning this one by 14.

END OF DEC. 29 PICKS

First-half college lines haven’t been posted yet and there’s still a number of games in the NBA where lines are just starting to pop up, so we’ll jump to our college basketball side plays. As usual on Saturday, we’ll use the night games, beginning with game No. 649. We’re 6-4 with these plays after losing last one.

Cal Poly at San Diego State: San Diego State opened as 27-point favorites and the line has held steady with 54% of the early wagers landing on the home team. I have San Diego State winning this one by 28, so pretty much right on the number here.

Wilmington at Delaware: Delaware opened as 12-point favorites and Wilmington is getting close to 90% of the early wagers in the game, but the line hasn’t moved. I have Delaware winning by just two, but a closer look at Wilmington shows they’re about 15 points worse on the road than they are home, as they’ve padded their stats with a pair of 55-point wins at home over Emory & Henry and NC Wesleyan.

Niagara at Syracuse: Syracuse opened -22 and the line is still there with Niagara getting more than 60% of the early wagers. I have the Orange winning by 27.

Belmont at Western Kentucky: Pretty decent game here, as the Hilltoppers opened -2 and are still there in pretty mixed betting. I have Western Kentucky winning by 3.

Seattle at Saint Marys: Saint Marys opened -20.5 and the line has dropped to 19 with Seattle getting the majority of the wagers. I have Saint Marys winning this one by 23.

Oral Roberts at BYU: The Cougars opened -14 and the line has held steady with Oral Roberts getting 60% of the wagers. I have BYU winning by a pair, but this is another one where Oral Roberts has built up some stats playing some weaker teams, along with a mixture of tough games, where they’ve held their own. Oral Roberts scores 6.7 fewer points and allows 5.8 more on the road, while BYU scores 2 more and allows 6.1 fewer points at home.

Pepperdine at San Jose State: Pepperdine opened 7.5 and is now favored by 8.5 after getting three-quarters of the early wagers. The numbers like the Spartans due to their schedule and have San Jose winning by 1, but no interest in taking a San Jose State team that has dropped eight straight and just lost by 15 at home to Riverside.

Riverside at Fresno: Speaking of Riverside, they opened as 8-point dogs at Fresno and the line is still there with pretty mixed betting. I have the Bulldogs winning by 14.

Idaho at Idaho State: Ugly game here where the home team is favored by 7 and I have it a one-point game.

Pacific at Irvine: Irvine opened -8 and the line has dropped to 7.5 with Pacific getting 70% of the wagers. Huge strength of schedule difference here for Irvine and I have them winning by 22, so will go against the grain and take the Anteaters.

END OF DEC. 28 PICKS

A much smaller slate of games on tap for Monday, which is fine, as it gives a little more time to look at the games in a bit more detail. We’re 6-3 in our full game sides, which is definitely better than our first-half sides.

Canisius at Siena: The Saints opened as 5-point favorites and the line has climbed to 7 even though Canisius is getting the majority of the wagers in this one. Canisius won both meetings last year and I have Siena winning this one by 12. Siena has played just three home games this season, so it’s hard to put too much stock into those numbers, which are a fair amount better than the overall numbers of the Saints, and I’d have Siena winning by 28. With both numbers liking Siena, along with a bit of a reverse move, will take Siena in this one.

Long Beach State at Seattle: Seattle opened as 4-point favorites and the line has climbed to 5 even though Long Beach is getting the majority of the wagers in this one. My numbers have a fondness for Long Beach due to their schedule played and they got the job done for us last time they played. My overall numbers have Long Beach winning by 4, but looking at home and away figures, I’d have Seattle by 14, although that’s in part due to the quality of competition played.

Georgia Southern at Georgia: The Bulldogs opened 9.5 and the line has dipped down to 8.5 with Georgia Southern getting close to two-thirds of the wagers in the game. I have Georgia winning this one by five points in the overall ratings and by more than 20 when you look at just home and away numbers.

Georgia State at SMU: The Mustangs opened as 7.5-point favorites and the line has climbed to 8 points even with Georgia State getting roughly two-thirds of the wagers in the game. Both sets of numbers have Georgia State winning, as SMU gets dinged by strength of schedule.

San Francisco at Fresno State: Fresno State opened -1 and now the Dons are favored by 1.5 after getting close to 80% of the early wagers in the game. The numbers disagree and both are selecting Fresno State to win based on strength of schedule difference.

Grambling at Dayton: Interesting game here, at least from a betting standpoint, as Dayton opened -26 and the line is still there with pretty good two-way action. Dayton is 2-0 ATS when favored by 20 or more points this year, but I have this one a little closer than the spread on both numbers. Part of that is due to Grambling blowing out teams their first two games, however.

END OF DEC. 23 PICKS

Coming off a dismal 1-2 night in college basketball and there’s a massive slate of games for Saturday, so we’ll just look at some of the games that start at 7 p.m.

Northern Kentucky at NC-Greensboro: Greensboro opened as 6-point favorites and are now favored by 8 in a decent reverse move, as they’ve only received 30% of the wagers in the game. I have Greensboro winning by four.

Kansas St. vs. St. Louis: Kansas State is favored by and I have St. Louis winning by 6, but no interest in this neutral court game.

Eastern Michigan at Michigan State: The Spartans opened as 22-point favorites and are now favored by 23.5 after getting 60% of the wagers. I have Michigan State winning this one by 20.

Utah Valley State at Long Beach State: This one opened even and is still there with Utah Valley getting a little more than 60% of the wagers, while I have Long Beach winning this one by 11, so will go ahead and take the 49ers even in this game.

NC-Wilmington at Vanderbilt: The commodores opened 15.5 and the line is now down to 15 with Wilmington getting about 57% of the wagers. My numbers had Wilmington winning the game, but running home and away figures sees Wilmington averaging 17 fewer points on the road as they do at home, so a huge difference there.

Idaho at South Dakota State: SD State opened -14.5 and the line has dropped to 13.5 with Idaho getting more than 60% of the wagers. I have South Dakota State winning by 15.

Eastern Illinois at Grand Canyon: Some sharp money coming in on Grand Canyon in this one, which opened Grand Canyon -1 and is now up to 3 with the home team getting roughly 56% of the wagers. I have Eastern Illinois winning by 12, but home and away numbers have this a one-point game with Eastern winning.

Creighton at Arizona State: The sun Devils opened -3 and are still there despite getting less than 40% of the wagers. I have ASU winning by 8.

Northwestern at DePaul: DePaul is favored by 6 and I have them winning by the same margin.

Oregon State at Texas A & M: The Beavers opened as 6-point favorites and now Oregon State is favored by 6.5 after getting close to 70% of the wagers. I have OSU winning by 8.

END DEC. 21 PICKS

We’re 5-2 with our full-game sides, as we’ve been pretty selective in the early going on the season so far.

James Madison at Fordham: Fordham is favored by 3.5, which is right where they opened and Madison has received 58% of the early wagers. I have JMU winning by 8, but the difference in home and away performance is more than I’m giving credit to.

SMU at Georgia: The Bulldogs opened -5 and the line is still there with SMU getting close to 60% of the wagers. A few places have knocked the line down to 4.5. I have Georgia rolling to the win in this one by 16, but Georgia loaded up on creampuffs to start the year.

Furman at Mercer: Furman is favored by 8.5 and I have them winning by 20 and Furman has won the last five meetings between the two, although the games haven’t been blowouts.

Irvine at Illinois-Chicago: A bit of a tough spot here for Irvine, as this will be their fourth game in six days and they had to travel from El Paso to get here. Irvine is favored by 4.5 and I have them winning by close to 20, but a little hard to get excited about this one.

Northern Colorado at South Dakota: South Dakota is favored by 1 and I have Northern Colorado winning by 10, but some pretty significant home and away performances by both teams here will just keep me away from this one.

North Dakota State at Marquette: Marquette opened as 15-point favorites and the line is down to 13, with ND State getting 60% of the wagers in the game. I have Marquette winning this one by 19.

IUPUI at Fresno: Fresno State is favored by 13.5 after opening as 14.5-point favorites and seeing IUPUI get more than 70% of the wagers in the game. I have Fresno winning by 18.

Akron vs. Tulane: Akron is favored by 4.5 in this one and I have them winning by 10. The Zips opened 6.5, but Tulane has received 60% of the wagers in the game.

Liberty at Towson: Liberty opened as 7-point favorites and the line is still there, with Liberty getting 60% of the wagers. I have Towson winning this one by 5 and will go ahead and take Towson +7 in this one. Liberty has played one of the worst schedules in college basketball and this one should be low-scoring, so the points could very well come into play.

Drexel vs. Quinnipac: Quinnipac is favored by 1.5 and I have Drexel winning by 6.

END OF DEC. 20 PICKS

Running a bit behind today after my 15-minute doctor’s appointment turned into two hours, something I’m sure most of you can relate to.

Another ugly night, as I’ve stunk it up the past few days after a decent run, which is all part of the game. Since we’re running late, just the one article here today and we’ll look at just a few of the games.

North Texas at Dayton: Dayton opened as 16.5-point favorites and the line has dropped to 16 even though the Flyers are getting the majority of the wagers in this one. I have Dayton winning by just nine, although North Texas is about 11 points worse on the road, so one to just stay away from.

Southeast Missouri at Ohio State: The Buckeyes opened 29.5 and the line is still there despite Ohio State getting 65% of the wagers so far in this one. Ohio State has the talent to win by 40 and I have them winning by 41, but not quite sure they’ll be entirely motivated to put a hurtin’ on SEMO.

Northeastern at Eastern Michigan: EMU has moved from -1 to -1.5 after getting 75% of the wagers, so perhaps a little more movement should have occurred. I have Eastern Michigan winning by 12, but they’ve padded their stats against some pretty weak foes.

Toledo at Missouri-Kansas City: Toledo opened as 8.5-point favorites and the line has dropped to 7.5 even with three-quarters of the wagers coming in on Toledo. I have Kansas City winning by four, but no real interest in this one.

Oral Roberts at Chicago State: Oral Roberts opened as 15.5-point favorites and the line is up to 16 even though Oral Roberts has just 30% of the wagers in this one. I have Oral Robert winning by more than 30 points, so will take the road favorite in this one.

Oklahoma at Creighton: Decent game here, as Creighton opened as 3.5-point favorites and the line has stayed there with the home team getting two-thirds of the early wagers. I have the Sooners pulling out the win in this one.

END OF DEC. 17 PICKS

We moved to 4-1 with one last time when Kansas managed to hang on for the cover. We’ll look at some of the night games here, which is pretty much going to be our standard from here on out.

Drake at Dayton: Dayton is favored by 16, which is where the number opened and Drake is getting the majority of wagers in this one. I have Dayton winning by 25.

New Mexico State at New Mexico: Little reverse move here, as New Mexico opened -5.5 and are now down to 4. I have the Lobos winning this one by 5.

Evansville at Green Bay: Green Bay is favored by 3 and the line is holding steady with Evansville getting the majority of the wagers. I have Green Bay cruising to the win here by 20.

Bakersfield at Idaho: Bakersfield is favored by 6 and I them winning by 15, but another case of Bakersfield being a completely different team away from home, where they’re outscored by 20 points.

Stanford at San Jose State: Stanford is favored by 17 in this one and I have it quite a bit closer. The Cardinal have played the majority of their games at home. The Spartans have played a much tougher schedule so far and I might regret it, but will take San Jose +17 in this one.

Western Michigan at Manhattan: Manhattan is favored by 4 and I have them taking a one-point victory in this one.

Georgia at Arizona State: Pretty good game here, as the Sun Devils opened 5 and are now 4 even though ASU is getting close to two-thirds of the wagers in the game. I have ASU winning by 16 but will respect the line move a little bit and just stay away.

Eastern Illinois at Wisconsin-Milwaukee: Milwaukee is favored by 2.5 and I have Eastern Illinois winning by 5, but no interest in this one due to Eastern padding their numbers against some teams they shouldn’t be playing.

Northern Colorado at Wyoming: Another game where the numbers probably don’t tell the true story of a team, as Northern Colorado is favored by 6 and I have them winning by 25, but they put a beating on teams like Northern New Mexico and Collorado College.

NAU at Utah Valley: More of the same here, as Utah Valley opened 9.5 and the line is down to 7.5 with the Lumberjacks getting the vast majority of the wagers, but NAU has also beaten up some crappy teams.

Cal Davis at San Diego: San Diego is favored by 7.5 and I have them winning by 7.

Fresno at Cal Poly: Fresno is favored by 8.5 and I have them winning by 4 in a game Cal Poly is getting two-thirds of the wagers in.

Gonzaga at Arizona: Arizona is favored by 2.5 and I have them winning this one by 9.

St. Mary’s at California: St. Mary’s is favored by 8.5 and I them winning by just one in a game with pretty even betting.

END OF DEC. 14 PICKS

 

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(639) ST JOSEPHS @ (640) PENNSYLVANIA | 2:00 pm 1/18/2020

Play Line: PENNSYLVANIA -9.5
BTB PowerLine: PENNSYLVANIA -16

Edge On: PENNSYLVANIA 6.5Bet Now
(667) TOLEDO @ (668) AKRON | 2:00 pm 1/18/2020

Play Line: AKRON -5.5
BTB PowerLine: AKRON -12

Edge On: AKRON 6.5Bet Now
(709) UTEP @ (710) TX-SAN ANTONIO | 4:00 pm 1/18/2020

Play Line: TX-SAN ANTONIO -1.5
BTB PowerLine: TX-SAN ANTONIO -10

Edge On: TX-SAN ANTONIO 8.5Bet Now