Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Matadors versus the Aggies? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA. This Big West conference matchup has an over/under of 149.5 points, and the Aggies are favored to win at home vs. the Matadors.
CSUN MATADORS VS UC DAVIS AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UC Davis Aggies -5
This game will be played at University Credit Union Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.
WHY BET THE UC DAVIS AGGIES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Aggies.
- Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 149.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Is a Win at Davis Possible for the Matadors?
CSUN will enter this game as underdogs, as they have been in five of their seven games as underdogs this season. They have gone 5-2 in those games, and they have gone 3-0 in their last three games on the road.
So far this season, CSUN has gone 6-2 on the road, and their average scoring margin in those games has been +5.1 points per game. They have won six straight games overall, and they are coming off of a 76-66 win over Hawaii.
CSUN has been one of the best teams in the country against the spread this season, going 12-1. Their road ATS mark is a perfect 8-0 and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Overall, their last 10 ATS mark as the underdog is 8-2 and they are 7-0 vs. the spread as the underdog this year.
CSUN’s over/under record for the season is 5-8, and the average scoring total in their games is 148.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is very similar to the average OU line in their games (148.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points, and their over/under record during this span is 1-2.
The CSUN offense is coming off a game where they scored 76 points against Hawaii. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.2% and connected on 3 threes. De’Sean Allen-Eikens is leading the team in scoring at 19.4 points per contest. Dionte Bostick has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.3 going into the game.
At present, the Matadors’ defense is nationally ranked 120th, allowing 69.5 points per game. CSUN’s three-point defense is currently 113rd in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 35.2% of their shots vs. CSUN.
Can the Aggies Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
UC Davis comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in seven of their 15 games this season. So far, they have gone 4-3 in those games. At home, they have gone 4-3 this season, and their average scoring margin is +5.0 points per game. Their current win streak is three games, and they are 3-0 in Big West play.
In their last game, UC Davis took down UC Riverside by a score of 83-63. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 7-3, and their record over their last three home games is 3-0. So far, they have gone 8-7 overall, and their record in non-conference games is 5-7.
UC Davis has an ATS record of 6-6 this season, going 3-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.
UC Davis’ over/under record currently sits at 4-8 this season and the average scoring total in their games is 139.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.5). So far, 10 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.
UC Davis’ offense had a good outing, putting up 83 points against UC Riverside. They achieved a 60% field goal percentage and went 21/28 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Aggies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, placing them 144th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 98th in terms of percentage and 201st in three-pointers made.
At present, the Aggies’ defense is nationally ranked 69th, allowing 66.5 points per game. Against UC Riverside in their most recent game, the UC Davis defense gave up a total of 63 points while allowing UC Riverside to hit 27% of their shots.