Looking to win big? The Matadors and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. The Matadors are the favorites in this Big West conference matchup the against the Mustangs. The over/under for the game is set at 140.5 points.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +4.5

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 142 points.

Do the Matadors Have a Shot at a Win at San Luis Obispo?

Following a 76-72 victory over UCLA in their previous game, CSUN holds a 9-3 overall record. The Matadors have a 4-2 record in road games this season and are 1-1 this year. CSUN has a winning record against the spread at 7-1. In their last ten games, CSUN has a perfect 4-0 record against the spread.

After 12 games, CSUN has an over/under record of 2-6-0, with their games averaging a combined 147.4 points per game so far. In their most recent three games, the Matadors’ over/under record is 3-0, with their games averaging 151 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the CSUN offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against UCLA. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.6%, and they made 5 threes. On the offensive front, the Matadors have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 93rd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 340th in terms of percentage and 354th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Matadors’ defense holds the 123rd rank in the nation, allowing 69.4 points per game. The CSUN defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 72 points and allowed UCLA to connect on 9 threes.

Are the Mustangs Ready for a Home Win?

Cal Poly, who has a 4-8 record, is about to play their 13th game of the season. Out of their last ten home games, including those from last year, Cal Poly has a 3-7 record. As of now, Cal Poly holds a 5-4 record against the spread heading into today’s game. In their previous five games, they have gone 2-3 vs. the spread.

So far, Cal Poly’s games have averaged 141 points per game with the average over/under line being 133.1 points. The Mustangs’ last five games have finished with a combined 129 points per game and an over/under record of 2-2-1.

Most recently, the Cal Poly offense finished with just 50 points vs. Weber State. For the game, they hit 5/12 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 43.9%. The team’s top scorer is Kobe Sanders, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 18.4, while Jarred Hyder also maintains a PPG average of 10.7 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Mustangs’ defense holds the 163rd rank in the nation, allowing 71.6 points per game. Against Weber State in their most recent game, the Cal Poly defense gave up a total of 78 points while allowing Weber State to hit 42% of their shots.