Looking to win big? The Huskies and Red Storm face off at 12:00 ET on FOX. The Red Storm are hosting the game at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY. Connecticut is favored by -3.5 in this Big East conference matchup the against St. John’s. The over/under for the game is set at 147 points.
CONNECTICUT HUSKIES VS ST. JOHN’S RED STORM BETTING PICK
The Pick: St. John’s Red Storm +3.5
This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.
WHY BET THE ST. JOHN’S RED STORM:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Red Storm.
- Not only will St. John’s pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Can the Huskies Pull Off a Road Win?
Connecticut enters tonight’s game with a record of 19-2, including a 9-1 mark in Big East play. The Huskies have won nine straight games, and they are 19-1 when favored this season.
On the road, Connecticut has gone 5-2 this season, and they have won their last three games away from home. For the year, the Huskies have an average scoring margin of +2.4 on the road.
Connecticut has an ATS record of 11-9-1 this season and they are 3-3-1 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Huskies have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 147 is similar to the average over/under line in Connecticut games this year (145.6). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points.
Against Providence, the Connecticut had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 81.6 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 40% in the game. Offensively, the Huskies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 34th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 139th in terms of percentage and 64th in three-pointers made.
This season, the Connecticut defense has been impressive, holding the 21st position in the country while permitting an average of 64.2 points per contest. Against Providence in their most recent game, the Connecticut defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Providence to hit 40% of their shots.
Does St. John’s Stand a Chance at Home?
St. John’s has been much better at home this season, going 9-2 compared to 4-5 on the road. They have also been the underdog in six games, going 2-4 in those matchups. The Red Storm are coming off an 88-77 loss to Xavier and have gone 4-1 in their last five home games.
On the year, St. John’s has a record of 13-8, including a 5-4 mark in Big East play. They have been the underdog in six games, going 2-4 in those matchups. For the season, they have an average scoring margin of +14.5 points per game at home.
St. John’s has an ATS record of 11-9 this season and they are 4-2 vs. the spread as the underdog. At home, the Red Storm have an ATS mark of 6-5 this year and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread. In their last 5 games as the underdog, St. John’s has an ATS record of 4-1.
St. John’s over/under record for the season is 11-9 and today’s line of 147 is below their average over/under line of 149.4. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.
The Red Storm’s offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 77.2 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Red Storm have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, putting them 241st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 303rd in percentage and 258th in three-pointers made.
On defense, St. John’s is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Connecticut. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.