Last Updated: 2018-01-16
The Connecticut Huskies (10-7, 3-2 AAC), 1.5-point underdogs, will be at FedExForum to clash with the Memphis Tigers (12-6, 3-2 AAC) in an AAC matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 134.5 points and it will air on CBS Sports Network at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 16, 2018.
Connecticut Huskies at Memphis Tigers ATS Odds
Both teams were victorious in their last game. The Tigers edged the Temple Owls 75-72, while the Huskies were victorious over the Tulane Green Wave 67-57.
Connecticut played a nearly perfect game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 35.5 (above their season average of 30.1) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.546 (above their season average of 0.456). Tulane was 20.0 and 0.471, respectively, for those same stats. The Tigers, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.180 vs. 0.105) and held the Owls to an effective field goal percentage of 0.421 (below their season average of 0.496). Memphis rallied around Jeremiah Martin, who finished with 26 points, six rebounds and six assists. Jalen Adams led the way for Connecticut, finishing with 25 points, six assists and five rebounds.
Memphis should have an advantage on the offensive glass in this contest. The Tigers are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 31st in offensive rebounding percentage at 35.2 percent. Meanwhile, Connecticut ranks 146th in the nation at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 72.1 percent.
Of the Huskies’ 13 games that accepted bets, seven have finished over the total. Connecticut heads into the contest with records of 10-7 straight up (SU) and 6-8 against the spread (ATS).
Contrary to Connecticut, games including the Tigers have gone under the projected point total 53.3 percent of the time. Memphis has a solid 12-6 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (6-8-1 ATS).
Adams and Christian Vital have played well over the last five games for Connecticut. Adams has averaged 18.4 points, 7.2 rebounds, 5.6 assists and 2.2 steals per game, while Vital has recorded 16.8 points and 2.6 steals a game during that span.
This series was highly competitive last year. Each won one of the two games played against each other last season. In the most recent contest, the Huskies won 65-62. The Huskies’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Tigers. Connecticut had a rate of 11.4, while Memphis posted a mark of 22.5. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Connecticut Huskies vs. Memphis Tigers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Memphis, ATS Winner – Memphis, O/U – Under
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Connecticut ranks 40th in steals allowed per game (5.3) while Memphis ranks 152nd (7.2).
The Huskies rank 201st in three pointers attempted per game (19.9) while the Tigers rank 222nd in three pointers allowed per game (24.8).
Connecticut ranks 81st in rebounds per game (37.5) while Memphis ranks 94th in rebounds allowed per game (33.9).
The Tigers rank 165th in assists per game (13.2) while the Huskies rank 251st (9.6).
Connecticut ranks 78th in blocks per game (3.9) while Memphis ranks 126th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
Connecticut is 4-4 ATS on the road, while Memphis is 4-4-1 ATS at home.
The Huskies have 4 overs and 4 unders in 8 road games.
In 9 home games, the Tigers have 5 unders and 4 overs.
The Huskies are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Tigers are 3-2.
In their last five games, Connecticut has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Huskies have outscored opponents by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Connecticut has been defeated by an average of 1.5 points.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 75.0 points per game (3.9 above their season average).