The Rams and Lobos are set to face off at 10:00 ET on CBSS. The Lobos will host the game at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM. This Mountain West conference matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points, and New Mexico is favored to win by -6.5 at home vs. Colorado State.


The Pick: Colorado State Rams +6.5

This game will be played at The Pit at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Lobos.
  • Even though we have New Mexico winning straight-up, we like Colorado State at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 155.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Rams Stand a Chance in Albuquerque?

Colorado State is 20-6 overall and 8-5 in Mountain West play. The Rams have been much better at home, going 14-1 compared to 5-5 on the road. They have won their last eight games at home.

As the underdog, Colorado State is 2-3 this season. In their last game, the Rams beat Utah State by a score of 75-55.

Colorado State’s ATS record this season is 15-10, and they are 2-3 vs. the spread as the underdog. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Rams have gone 5-5. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-5 this year, and they are 1-4 vs. the spread in their last five road games.

Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Colorado State’s games this year (147.3). On the season, the over/under record in their games is 10-14-1. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 122 points and their last three OU record is 0-3.

In their recent matchup, the Colorado State offense ended with 75 points against Utah State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 45.2% and made 4 threes. Offensively, the Rams hold a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, placing them 30th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 141st in terms of percentage and 138th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Rams’ defense is nationally ranked 78th, allowing 67.8 points per game. So far, the Colorado State defense is giving up an average of 8.4 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (429th).

Taking a Look at the Lobos Chances at Home

After starting the season 10-0 at home, New Mexico has lost two straight at home, including their most recent game, 81-70 to San Diego State. Overall, the Lobos are 20-6 this season and 7-5 in Mountain West play.

At home, New Mexico is 10-2 this season, compared to 8-4 on the road. For the season, the Lobos have an average scoring margin of +17.1 points per game at home, compared to +6.2 on the road.

As the favorite, New Mexico has gone 15-5 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lobos have an ATS mark of 7-3. At home, they are 9-3 vs. the spread this year.

So far this season, the over/under record for New Mexico games is 14-10. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is just slightly higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (153.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points.

In contrast to their season average of 83.5 points per game, the New Mexico had a below average performance. They scored 70 points against San Diego State and had a field goal percentage of 35.5%. The team’s top scorer is Donovan Dent, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Jaelen House also carries a PPG average of 15.9 into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the New Mexico defense is giving up an average of 71.0 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Colorado State, the New Mexico defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, New Mexico made 16 free-throws vs. the Lobos.