Colorado and San Diego close down their four-game series at Petco Park on Sunday, June 12, 2022, so here’s the best Rockies vs. Padres betting pick along with the latest odds update on BetOnline Sportsbook.
The Rockies are listed as +166 road underdogs, while the Padres sit at -181 moneyline odds with a total of 8.5 runs. San Diego has won the first two games of the series, 9-0 and 2-1, while the nightcap of Saturday’s doubleheader has been excluded from the analysis.
The Rockies blew a chance in Game 2
The Colorado Rockies fell to 25-34 on the season following a 2-1 ten-inning defeat in the first clash of Saturday’s twin bill at Petco Park. They nearly upset the odds, but catcher Elias Diaz made a costly mistake in the bottom of the tenth, allowing Manny Machado to score the winning run.
It was the Rockies’ eighth defeat in 11 outings this month. Their pitching staff has amassed a pedestrian 5.68 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and .280 batting average against in that 11-game stretch, while Colorado’s offense has slashed only .226/.290/.354.
German Marquez will get the starting call Sunday and shoot for his second straight win. Last Tuesday, Marquez yielded three earned runs on four hits and four walks across six innings of work in a 5-3 victory at the San Francisco Giants. The 27-year-old righty is now 2-5 with a horrible 6.49 ERA, 1.59 WHIP, and 5.14 FIP in 11 starts (61 innings) in 2022.
The Padres lean on their pitching staff
The San Diego Padres improved their record to 37-22 for the season with that narrow victory over the Rockies. Nick Martinez pitched 5.2 frames of a one-run ball, while four relievers kept the Rockies off the scoreboard.
Joe Musgrove tossed six shutout innings in a 7-0 thrashing of the Rockies this past Friday. Through their first ten outings in June, the Padres have accounted for a pristine 2.50 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and .209 batting average against.
Blake Snell will take the mound Sunday, and the 29-year-old southpaw has struggled mightily in four starts this season. Snell holds a 0-3 record, 5.68 ERA, and 1.37 WHIP across 19 innings. Last Monday, Blake took a loss in a heavy 11-5 defeat to the New York Mets, surrendering five runs (four earned) in just four innings of work.
- 2-7 in the last nine games overall
- 3-6 in German Marquez’s last nine starts
- 7-1 in the last eight games overall
- 5-1 in the last six games at home
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Pick
The Padres’ bullpen has tossed only 25.1 innings through the first ten days of June, posting a 4.26 ERA and 3.49 FIP. Blake Snell is still building up his form and stamina following an injury, so the Padres will need their ‘pen in this one. On the other side, the Rockies’ bullpen is sporting an underwhelming 4.99 ERA and a 3.69 FIP in June.
I lean toward the Padres, expecting to see a dramatic series finale. It’s hard to trust Snell and German Marquez, who’s allowed three or more earned runs in ten straight starts.
Pick: Take San Diego Padres at -181
Frankly, I would be surprised if the Rockies and Padres fail to combine for at least five runs through the first five innings. The current Padres are batting .270 in 96 at-bats against German Marquez, while the current Colorado lineup has a mediocre .245/.308/.348 triple-slash in 77 at-bats against Blake Snell.
Still, the Rockies own a .283/.344/.430 slash line and 119 OPS+ against the left-handed pitchers in 2022. If you like player props, keep your eyes on CJ Cron and Manny Machado. Cron is 4-for-10 with a home run against Snell, while Manny is 7-for-22 against Marquez.
Pick: Go over 8.5 runs at +100