Heading into game three of this NL West matchup, it will be Seth Lugo on the mound for the Padres (74-78, 41-36 home), facing off against the Rockies (56-95, 22-55 away) and Chase Anderson. Find out my prediction for today’s Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres game in San Diego.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS SAN DIEGO PADRES BETTING PICK

The Pick: San Diego Padres -1.5 Runs

This game will be played at PETCO Park at 4:10 ET on Wednesday, September 20th.

WHY BET THE SAN DIEGO PADRES:

  • Against the runline, the Padres have covered in six straight games when favored to win.
  • The Rockies have failed to covered the runline in each of their two most recent games as the underdog.
  • The Padres are 2-1 in Seth Lugo’s last five starts.

COLORADO ROCKIES STRUGGLING VS RUNLINE OF LATE

Heading into today’s game, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 56-95. When looking at their performance in their 47 series, Colorado is 16-29-2. Against below .500 teams, the Rockies are 28-28 while going 22-55 on the road and 34-40 at home.

Chase Anderson has taken the mound 18 times this season, but his record stands at 0-5. His ERA is 6.00, and opponents are batting .272 against him. On the road, Anderson is winless in three starts with an 8.88 ERA, while he has gone 0-2 in home games with a 6.09 ERA. Teams have a slugging percentage of .493 against him for the year thus far.

Chase Anderson didn’t get the win in the Rockies’ 3-2 victory over the Giants, but he did turn in a quality start. The right-hander went seven frames, giving up just one run on no hits.

Offensively, Colorado is ranked 18th in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Rockies averaged 6.6 runs per contest, which is 3rd best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Colorado is 23rd in all of baseball, with a total of 145 home runs.

The Rockies’ Ezequiel Tovar leads the team in hits, boasting a .255 batting average. His slugging percentage stands at .415, and he holds an on-base percentage of .288.

WILL THE SAN DIEGO PADRES TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

Entering game 153 of their season, the Padres are 20 games out in the NL West and are in 4th place. So far, their overall series record stands at 20-24-4. San Diego’s road winning percent is currently 44.0% (33-42) compared to 53.2% at home (41-36).

Seth Lugo has had a solid season thus far, with a 7-7 record and 3.83 ERA across his 24 outings. His WHIP stands at 1.22 and opponents are batting .293 against him, while he has 126 strikeouts to 31 walks. However, it should be noted that Lugo has allowed a home run in each of his last two appearances.

Seth Lugo earned the win in his most recent start, a 8-3 triumph over the Athletics. The right-hander tossed six frames of three-run ball, allowing five hits. Lugo’s performance marked a quality start for the Mets’ hurler.

Across their last ten games, the Padres’ offense is 5th in batting average, leading to an average of 6.2 runs per contest in that span. Overall, they are the 13th ranked scoring offense and posted a season-long OPS of .743 on 198 (8th).

Juan Soto has been a force for the San Diego Padres this season, boasting a .268 batting average and slugging .506. Over the team’s last ten games, Soto has been especially impressive, leading the Padres in hits while batting an impressive .383.