The Brewers (61-53, 32-26 home) host the Rockies (44-68, 19-38 away) in game two of this National League series. Getting the start for the Brewers is Wade Miley while the Rockies are turning to Kyle Freeland. Read on to get my best bet for this Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies matchup.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Colorado Rockies +1.5 Runs
This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Tuesday, August 8th.
WHY BET THE COLORADO ROCKIES:
- The Rockies will be taking on a Brewers club that is just 1-2 vs. the runline in their last three games.
- Over their last five games as the favorite, the Brewers are just 2-3 against the runline.
- The Brewers have gone 1-2 in Wade Miley’s last five starts.
COLORADO ROCKIES LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS
On a record of 44-68, the Rockies come into today’s game 5th in the NL West. When playing at home, they are 25-30 and 19-38 on the road. Colorado has played in 36 series thus far, and have gone 13-20-3.
Today marks Kyle Freeland’s 22nd outing of the season, and his record stands at 4-12. His ERA is 4.86 and opposing batters have a .328 OBP against him. He has struck out 72 batters and holds a WHIP of 1.47. When pitching away from home, his ERA is 7.03, while it drops to 5.46 when he takes the mound in front of his home crowd.
Kyle Freeland was dealt the loss in a 11-1 rout by the Padres in his most recent start. The left-hander went six innings, surrendering four runs on seven hits.
The Rockies’ offense comes into today’s game with a collective batting average of .251 and are averaging 4.3 runs per game for the season. Looking at their ten most recent games, Colorado has gone deep six times, which is ranked 14th in that time. To date, the team’s OPS is .712 to go along with an on base percentage of .311.
The Rockies’ Ryan McMahon has been a standout at the plate in 2023. He is currently batting .259, with 58 runs batted in, and 19 home runs to his name.
WILL THE MILWAUKEE BREWERS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
For the season, the Brewers are 61-53 overall, including going 29-27 on the road and 32-26 at home. When looking at their overall series record, Milwaukee is above .500 at 18-16-2. In the NL Central, the Brewers are currently 1st.
The Brewers will turn to starter Wade Miley, who has been a reliable arm for the team this season. His overall record stands at 6-2, with 14 appearances and an ERA of 3.01. Miley has also put up a K/9 of 6.4 and a FIP of 4.26, while limiting opponents to an OBP of .286.
Wade Miley’s most recent start against the Nationals resulted in a no-decision for the left-hander. In his four innings of work, he gave up one run on three hits, but the Brewers ultimately fell 3-2.
This season, the Brewers are 19th in the league at 4.3 runs per game. Over their last ten games, they have a combined batting average of .240 (13th) leading to 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are generating 3.6 walks per game compared to 8 strikeouts. Milwaukee’s on-base percentage of .313 has them 16th in the MLB.
The Milwaukee Brewers have seen Brice Turang take the lead in home runs over their last ten games, with two long balls and a total of six for the season. Turang’s batting average stands at .225 for the year.