Colorado and Arizona start a four-game series at Chase Field in Phoenix on Thursday night, so we’re taking a closer look at this NL West showdown to get you the best Rockies vs. Diamondbacks betting pick and odds.
Last Sunday, the Rockies beat the Diamondbacks 6-5 to clinch a three-game home set, while Arizona won two of its three home contests against Colorado back in May. The D-backs opened as slight favorites this time around, according to Bovada Sportsbook.
The Rockies’ road slump goes on
The 35-46 Colorado Rockies were looking to avoid a sweep in a three-game road set against the Dodgers on Wednesday night. Their battle from Dodger Stadium has been excluded from the analysis, and the Rockies have won only one of their previous eight showings on the road.
Austin Gomber will get the starting call Thursday at Chase Field and face the Diamondback for the second time in six days. Last Saturday, Gomber earned a win in an 11-7 home victory over Arizona, allowing four earned runs on six hits across 5.2 innings of work.
Gomber is now 4-7 with a terrible 6.53 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, and 54/22 K/BB ratio in 13 starts and a couple of relief appearances (73 innings) in 2022. The 28-year-old left-hander has recorded a disgusting 10.67 ERA over his previous seven outings and 27 innings pitched.
The Diamondbacks started their seven-game homestand on a high note
The 37-44 Arizona Diamondbacks played the San Francisco Giants on Wednesday night. They were looking to sweep a three-game home set against the divisional rivals after scoring 14 runs through the first two contests (8-3 and 6-2). Arizona was six games behind the bottom wild card in the National League.
Dallas Keuchel is projected to get the ball Thursday. The veteran lefty threw five innings in that 11-7 defeat at Coors Field last Saturday and was charged for a loss. He surrendered seven runs (six earned) on six hits and three walks while striking out three.
Keuchel is having a nightmare season and was waived by the Chicago White Sox in May. Dallas owns a 2-6 record with a catastrophic 8.27 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 2.10 WHIP in ten starts (41.1 innings) in 2022. He ranks in the 1st percentile in fastball velocity and 16th percentile in the expected batting average.
- 1-7 in the last eight games on the road
- 12-5 in the last 17 home games against Colorado
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
Frankly, this game could easily go either way and I would stick with the totals. Both Austin Gomber and Dallas Keuchel should be allowing runs left and right, and neither bullpen has impressed lately. Furthermore, the Rockies have a .732 OPS in the last two weeks of action, while the Diamondbacks have a .738 OPS in that span.
Arizona has won 12 of its previous 17 home encounters with the Rockies, who own an 84 OPS+ away from home in 2022, so going with the hosts makes sense.
Pick: Take Arizona Diamondbacks
It’s hard to avoid a matchup between Austin Gomber and Dallas Keuchel. I was all over the over on the totals last Saturday and would take it again this time around. Keuchel has allowed a whopping 23 runs in his last four starts and 15.1 frames of work, while Gomber has yielded 13 runs through his previous 14.2 innings pitched (a couple of starts and relief appearances).
I would be shocked if these two guys put on a strong performance. The Rockies are way more dangerous when hitting the lefties (127 OPS+), and the D-backs have a 104 OPS+ versus the left-handed starting pitchers.
Pick: Go over