Going into game two of this NL West showdown, the Diamondbacks (71-67, 37-34 home) are giving the start to Brandon Pfaadt. On the other side, the Rockies (50-87, 21-49 away) are rolling with Kyle Freeland. Don’t miss my prediction for today’s Colorado Rockies versus Arizona Diamondbacks game in Phoenix.
COLORADO ROCKIES VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 Runs
This game will be played at Chase Field at 9:40 ET on Tuesday, September 5th.
WHY BET THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS:
- Over their previous three games as the underdog, the Rockies are just 1-2 vs. the runline.
- The Rockies have failed to covered the runline in each of their two most recent games as the underdog.
- Opponents are hitting a healthy .344 against Kyle Freeland in his last three starts.
COLORADO ROCKIES LOOKING FOR UPSET AS ROAD UNDERDOGS
137 games into the season, the Rockies have a record of 50-87, putting them 5th in the NL West. This mark includes an overall series 14-26-3. At home, they are 29-38 compared to 21-49 on the road.
Starter Kyle Freeland has had a difficult season thus far for the Rockies, with an overall record of 5-14 in 26 appearances. His ERA stands at 5.18, and he has a K/9 figure of 5.69. Additionally, his FIP is 5.41 and opponents are batting .329 against him.
The Rockies were unable to come away with a win in Kyle Freeland’s last outing, falling to the Braves 7-3. In the game, Freeland went 5 2/3 innings and allowed six earned runs on eight hits.
Offensively, Colorado is ranked 18th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. When looking over their last five matchups, the Rockies averaged 5.4 runs per contest, which is 8th best in that span. In terms of their power numbers, Colorado is 23rd in all of baseball, with a total of 135 home runs.
Nolan Jones has been a key contributor to the Rockies’ offense over their last five games, leading the team in hits and batting .425. This season, he is hitting .282 with 43 RBIs.
WILL THE ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?
138 games into the season, the Diamondbacks have a record of 71-67, putting them 2nd in the NL West. This mark includes an overall series 23-18-4. At home, they are 37-34 compared to 34-33 on the road.
Brandon Pfaadt has made 14 appearances for the Diamondbacks this season, with an overall record of 1-7. His ERA is 6.21, and his K/9 rate is 8.11. Additionally, Pfaadt’s FIP stands at 5.58 and his OBP is .325.
Brandon Pfaadt’s last outing against the Dodgers was a difficult one, as he surrendered six runs on eight hits over four innings and took the loss for the Diamondbacks.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks’ has gone deep 151 times, placing them 17th in the league. Over Arizona’s previous five games, they are 15th in runs scored, with their season average of 4.7 runs per game putting them 13th in the league. The Diamondbacks’ overall team batting average stands at .253 along with an OBP of .322.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have seen Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hit three home runs in their last ten games, bringing his season total to 22. The outfielder is currently batting .257 for the year.