Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 08/22/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-08-22

The Colorado Rockies are traveling east to Busch Stadium to face the St. Louis Cardinals. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET and this NL showdown will be shown on ATRM and FSMW.

Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

The Cardinals are 67-58 straight up (SU) and 65-59 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a lot for gamblers, losing 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.2 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Rockies have gone 58-69 SU this year and are 58-68 against the spread. They’re down 8.3 units for moneyline bettors and 16.7 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 48-66-10 in 2019. Colorado has an over/under record of 61-56-9.

The right-handed German Marquez is projected to start for the visiting Rockies. Marquez (12-5, 4.71 ERA) has racked up 171 strikeouts in 168 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across seven innings).

The Cardinals are countering with Miles Mikolas (7-13, 4.30 ERA). Mikolas has 106 strikeouts and 25 walks, along with a 1.25 WHIP. Mikolas made two starts against the Rockies in 2018, posting a 0-0 record with a 3.86 ERA and nine strikeouts.

Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 5.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.70 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.24, along with a K-per-9 of 8.45.

The Rockies offense has slashed .270/.332/.460 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this year, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado have led Colorado’s hitters. Blackmon is slashing .330/.375/.610 with 27 home runs, 72 RBIs and 95 runs scored, while Arenado is hitting .302 with 31 homers, 96 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have yielded 4.2 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.15 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.74 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

St. Louis’ offense has produced 4.5 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .232/.331/.355 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong have paced the Cardinals’ batters this year. Goldschmidt is hitting .256/.331/.467 with 28 home runs, 68 RBIs and 75 runs scored, and DeJong’s line sits at .247/.326/.455 with 22 homers, 57 RBIs and 80 runs.

The Rockies have lost 4.8 units and are 32-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 40 of those games, as opposed to 34 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 1.4 units and are 54-44 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 36 of those games, compared to 56 that went under the total.

Colorado Rockies vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

Colorado has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. St. Louis has 10 XBH over its last five.

Colorado has posted 28.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 30.2 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

The Rockies have a total OPS of .791 this season and an OPS of .782 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .722 overall and .720 versus righties.

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