Colorado Rockies at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick 05/17/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-05-17

The Colorado Rockies will head east to Citizens Bank Park to square off against the Philadelphia Phillies. This NL matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and you can watch it on either ATRM or NSPA.

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-125) is favored over Colorado (+115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -180 for the Rockies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Rockies are 20-22 SU and have gone 21-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 0.9 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 24-19 SU and 22-20 ATS. The team has gained 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an 18-24 over/under record so far in 2019. Colorado has been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-17-2.

The right-handed Jon Gray is the probable starter for Colorado. Gray (3-3, 4.25 ERA) has recorded 51 punchouts in 48.2 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies are handing the ball to Cole Irvin (1-0, 1.29 ERA), who has five strikeouts and one walks, along with a 0.86 WHIP. Irvin hasn’t faced the Rockies yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2018.

Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.57 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.13, along with a K/9 of 7.95.

The Rockies offense has slashed .249/.314/.439 on its way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have led Colorado’s offense. Arenado is slashing .314/.360/.598 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Blackmon has a .295 average with nine homers, 27 RBIs and 31 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.04, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Philadelphia hitters have put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .223/.291/.319 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Phillies’ hitters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura. Hernandez is slashing .290/.360/.439 with four home runs, 17 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Segura’s line is .312/.349/.486 with four homers, 19 RBIs and 26 runs.

The Phillies have gained 6.8 units and are 19-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against righties.

Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER


Betting Notes

The under has hit in six of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

Philadelphia has recorded 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 18.6 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit six over their last 10.

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