The Buffaloes and Trojans are set to face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN2. The Trojans will host the game at Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA. Colorado is favored by -2 in this Pac-12 conference matchup the against USC. The over/under for the game is set at 149 points.


The Pick: USC Trojans +2

This game will be played at Galen Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Not only will USC pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Pressure Builds for Colorado as Away Favorites

Colorado heads into tonight’s game against USC as a two-point favorite. The Buffaloes have gone 15-5 this season when favored, including a 14-1 mark at home. However, they have struggled on the road, going just 2-8, including a current three-game losing streak.

Overall, Colorado has gone 16-9 this season, including a 7-7 record in Pac-12 play. They are coming off a 64-60 loss to UCLA, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone just 2-8.

Colorado’s ATS record this season is 10-14-1, including a 1-9 mark on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Buffaloes are just 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Colorado games is 15-10. Today’s line of 149 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (149.1). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Against UCLA, the Colorado had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 79.8 points per game. They scored 60 points and posted a field goal percentage of 52.2% in the game. The team’s scoring leader is KJ Simpson, who holds an average of 18.8 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tristan Da Silva is averaging 15.5 points per game this season.

In terms of defense, Colorado is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. The Colorado defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed UCLA to connect on 4 threes.

Can the USC Offense Score Enough at Home?

USC has been much better at home this season, going 8-6 compared to 2-9 on the road. They come into this game having won their last two games at home and have gone 5-5 in their last ten contests at home. Overall, the Trojans are 10-15 this season, including a 4-10 mark in Pac-12 play.

As the underdog, USC has yet to win a game this season, going 0-9. They will look to change that today as they are getting two points against Colorado. On the year, the Trojans have been the underdog in nine of their 25 games.

As the underdog, USC has struggled against the spread this season, going just 2-7. At home, the Trojans are 7-7 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Their overall ATS mark for the year is 11-14.

This season, the over/under record for USC games is 15-9-1, and today’s line of 149 is very close to the average OU line in their games (147.8). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 3-6-1.

The USC offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Utah. Overall their field goal percentage was 40.6% while connecting on 5 threes. Isaiah Collier was the leading scorer for the Trojans, putting up 15 points. In addition, DJ Rodman contributed 12 points.

Coming into today’s game, the USC defense is giving up an average of 74.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.7 threes per game vs. Colorado. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 36.0%.