Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Buffaloes and Ducks. The game is starting at 9:00 ET on ESPN2, and it’s hosted by the Ducks at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, OR. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 150.5 points, and Oregon is favored by -2.5 to win at home against Colorado.


The Pick: Oregon Ducks -2.5

This game will be played at Matthew Knight Arena at 9:00 ET on Thursday, March 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Ducks.
  • Not only will Oregon pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 150.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Buffaloes Make it Happen in Eugene?

Colorado is 20-9 on the season and has won four straight games. They are 11-7 in Pac-12 play compared to 9-2 in non-conference games. On the road, the Buffaloes are just 3-8, and their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game.

As an underdog this year, Colorado is 1-4, and they have been the underdog in just five games compared to 24 as the favorite. Their last game was an 81-71 win over Stanford, and they are 2-3 on the road in their last five games.

Colorado’s ATS record this season is 12-16-1 and they are 2-9 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Buffaloes have gone 1-4 vs. the spread this year and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games as the underdog. In their last 3 road games, Colorado is 1-2 vs. the spread and they are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Colorado’s over/under record for the season sits at 18-11, and today’s over/under line of 150.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (149.6). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points compared to their season average of 153.4 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the Colorado offense tallied 81 points in a matchup against Stanford. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.2%, and they made 11 threes. The top scorer for the Buffaloes was Tristan Da Silva with 27 points, while KJ Simpson also added 22 to the scoreboard.

Currently, the Buffaloes’ defense holds the 187th rank in the nation, allowing 72.5 points per game. The Colorado defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Stanford to connect on 11 threes.

Do the Ducks Stand a Chance at Home?

Coming into tonight’s game against Colorado, Oregon has gone 13-3 at home this season, compared to their 6-6 record on the road. On the year, the Ducks are 16-4 when they are favored, and they have won eight of their last ten games at home.

Last time out, Oregon lost to Arizona by a score of 103-83. The Ducks’ average scoring margin at home this season is +8.6 points per game, and they have gone 11-7 in Pac-12 play.

As the favorite this season, Oregon has gone just 9-11 vs. the spread. Their ATS record at home is 9-7, but they have gone just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 home games.

Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Oregon’s games this season (146.2). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Oregon recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 83 points against Arizona. This output exceeded their season average of 76.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Jermaine Couisnard, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.5, while Jackson Shelstad also carries a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

Oregon’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.6 points per game. Oregon’s three-point defense is currently 128th in the country at 7.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.4% of their shots vs. Oregon.