Looking to win big? The Buffaloes and Golden Bears face off at 11:00 ET on ESPNU. The Golden Bears are hosting the game at Haas Pavilion in Berkeley, CA. The Buffaloes are favored in this Pac-12 conference showdown. The game’s over/under is currently at 150 points.
COLORADO BUFFALOES VS CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: California Golden Bears +3.5
This game will be played at Haas Pavilion at 11:00 ET on Wednesday, January 10th.
WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Golden Bears.
- Not only will California pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 150 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Will the Buffaloes Defense Show Up on the Road?
Colorado has been dominant at home this season, going 10-0 with an average scoring margin of +20.6 points per game. The Buffaloes have won 10 straight games at home, and they have been favored in 12 of their 15 games this season, going 10-2 in those contests.
On the road, Colorado has struggled, going just 1-4 with an average scoring margin of -11.2 points per game. The Buffaloes have lost their last four road games, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games away from home.
Colorado’s ATS record this season is currently 7-7-1. As the favorite, the Buffaloes are 6-5-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone 4-5-1.
Colorado’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-7, and today’s line of 150 is just above the average over/under line in their games this year (149.7). So far, 9 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s, and 8 of their games have finished with more points than 150. In their last three games, the average scoring total is at 145 points.
The Colorado offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Arizona State. They posted a field goal percentage of 47.9% and connected on 7 threes. The team’s scoring leader is KJ Simpson, who holds an average of 20.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tristan Da Silva is averaging 15.8 points per game this season.
Colorado’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.2 points per game. In today’s game vs. California, the Colorado defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Colorado made 18 free-throws vs. the Buffaloes.
Will California Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?
California has been better at home this season, going 4-5 compared to 1-5 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.0 compared to -4.7 on the road. They are currently on a two-game losing streak at home.
So far this season, the Golden Bears are 2-7 when they are the underdog, and they have been the underdog in nine of their 15 games. Their record in Pac-12 games is 1-3.
As the underdog, Cal’s ATS mark this year is 6-3 and they are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three games as the underdog. At home, the Golden Bears have an ATS record of just 3-6 this season and are 0-3 in their last three home games vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for California games is 10-5 and today’s line of 150 is higher than the average over/under line of 144.7 in their games. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their over/under record during their last 10 games is 7-3.
In their recent matchup, the California offense ended with 66 points against UCLA. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 39.7% and made 8 threes. Offensively, the Golden Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 271st in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 195th in terms of percentage and 63rd in three-pointers made.
At present, the Golden Bears’ defense is nationally ranked 245th, allowing 76.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. UCLA, the Bruins finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 57 points vs. California.