Looking to win big? The Avalanche and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 6.5 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 vs. the Avalanche.


The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 15th.


  • The Lightning enter this game as 1.5-goal favorites and in our projections and we anticipate them winning by a score of 4-3.
  • Take the Lightning on the moneyline
  • On the spread, we like Avalanche (+1.5)

Will Colorado Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Colorado comes into tonight’s game with a record of 33-17-4, which has them in 3rd place in the Western Conference. In their last ten games, the Avalanche are 5-5, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five games.

On the road this season, Colorado is 13-12-4, and they have gone 20-11 against Western Conference opponents. When playing as the underdog, the Avalanche have gone 3-5-0 this season and have lost three straight games in that role.

On the season, the Avalanche have gone 26-28 against the puck line and have a scoring differential of +.6 goals per game. So far, they have won 25 games by multiple goals.

Colorado has gone 10-19 vs. the puck line on the road, and their average scoring margin away from home is -.3 goals per game. In their last ten road games, the Avs have gone 4-6 against the puck line.

For the season, Colorado’s games have finished with an average of 6.9 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.3. Overall, the Avalanche have an over/under record of 32-20-2.

Through their last three road contests, the Avalanche offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 4. Colorado posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.

On offense, the Avalanche are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 1st in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 3rd in the league. The Colorado offense is ranked 2nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 8th in the NHL.

Colorado’s leading scorer is Nathan MacKinnon. So far, he has 32 goals which is 5th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 55 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 16th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 11th in shutouts, achieving 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Alexandar Georgiev has started 44 games this season. His current record stands at 28-13, and his save percentage is 0.99%.

Will the Lightning Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

So far this season, the Lightning have gone 29-20-5, which has them in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. At home, Tampa Bay has been excellent, going 17-5-3 and have won their last seven games at Amalie Arena. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3 and have won two straight games.

When favored this season, Tampa Bay has gone 20-9-1 and have won four straight games when favored. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, the Lightning have gone 14-14 this season and have won two of their last three games. So far this season, the Lightning have been favored in 30 of their 54 games.

When favored, the Lightning have gone 14-16 on the puck line this season and have an average scoring margin of +.9 goals per game in those contests. So far, Tampa Bay has 20 wins by multiple goals.

Overall, the team’s puck line record is 28-26, and they have gone 7-3 vs. the puck line in their last 10 games. In their last three games, the Lightning have gone 2-1 vs. the puck line, and they have won four straight games at home by multiple goals.

On average, Tampa Bay’s games have finished with 6.7 goals per game. The season’s average over/under line stands at 6.5. In total, the Lightning come in with an over/under record of 24-26-4.

In their last three games away from home, the Avalanche have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.4 goals per game this season, ranking 4th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 16th in the league. In terms of the Lightning’s offense during power plays, they are 1st in power play goals and 27th in shorthanded goals.

Tampa Bay will be looking for a good game from Nikita Kucherov who leads the team in scoring with 34 goals, ranking 3rd in the NHL. Kucherov also comes into the game with 56 assists.

The Lightning defense is currently 16th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 11th with 3 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 29 games this season. His current record stands at 18-11, and his save percentage is 0.76%.